Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK preview
In the upcoming match between Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK, the 1X2 probabilities show Bandırmaspor at 46%, Iğdır FK at 21%, and a draw at 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring 16% of the time. Bandırmaspor has an expected goals figure of 1.19, while Iğdır FK sits at 0.72, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, the recent form of both teams could affect the outcome. Bandırmaspor has recorded two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches, while Iğdır FK is on a stronger run with five wins and a draw in the same period. Additionally, with both teams to score at 37% and Over 2.5 goals at 30%, there could be surprises in the match.
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK: model vs market
| Source | Bandırmaspor | Draw | Iğdır FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.72.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.91
- Attack rating (Bandırmaspor / Iğdır FK)
- 0.97 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Bandırmaspor / Iğdır FK)
- 0.54 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bandırmaspor goals. Columns: Iğdır FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 46% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Iğdır FK | 21% | 4.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.71 |
| No | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bandırmaspor or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| X2 (draw or Iğdır FK) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bandırmaspor win by 2+ | 21% | 4.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK recent form
Bandırmaspor
2W 2D 2L
Iğdır FK
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bandırmaspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Iğdır FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bandırmaspor at home only, Iğdır FK away only.
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Bandırmaspor 0 · draws 2 · Iğdır FK 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Bandırmaspor | 0-0 | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| 2025-11-03 | Iğdır FK | 1-1 | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Boluspor vs Vanspor FK — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor 2026-10-24
- Muğlaspor v İstanbulspor — match page 2026-10-24
- Sarıyer v Fatih Karagümrük — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Bandırmaspor, previous: Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor: odds and pick
- Iğdır FK, previous: Iğdır FK vs Boluspor prediction