Iğdır FK vs Boluspor preview
Iğdır FK faces Boluspor with a strong 79% chance of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Iğdır FK's expected goals of 2.67, compared to Boluspor's 0.65. Iğdır FK is in solid form, having won 5 of their last 6 matches, while Boluspor has lost all of their last 6 games.
However, there is a 45% chance that both teams will score, which could change the dynamics of the match. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. If Boluspor can improve their performance, they might challenge Iğdır FK more than expected.
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor: model vs market
| Source | Iğdır FK | Draw | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| Published | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Edge | -2% | +2% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.21, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Iğdır FK, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-15.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK | 1.18 | 1.16 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 6.00 | 6.58 | +0.58 |
| Boluspor | 11.75 | 12.88 | +1.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Iğdır FK and Boluspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.00
- Attack rating (Iğdır FK / Boluspor)
- 1.06 / 0.62
- Defence rating (Iğdır FK / Boluspor)
- 0.76 / 1.40
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Iğdır FK goals. Columns: Boluspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Iğdır FK vs Boluspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iğdır FK | 78% | 1.27 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.87 | |
| Boluspor | 7% | 14.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.43 |
| No | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Iğdır FK or draw) | 93% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 85% | 1.17 | |
| X2 (draw or Boluspor) | 22% | 4.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Iğdır FK win by 2+ | 55% | 1.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Iğdır FK and Boluspor recent form
Iğdır FK
4W 2D 0L
Boluspor
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Iğdır FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boluspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Iğdır FK at home only, Boluspor away only.
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Iğdır FK 1 · draws 1 · Boluspor 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Boluspor | 2-0 | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| 2025-10-19 | Iğdır FK | 1-1 | Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| 2025-01-19 | Iğdır FK | 0-1 | Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| 2024-08-11 | Boluspor | 0-1 | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Sivasspor v Sarıyer — match page 2026-10-17
- Bodrum FK v Bandırmaspor — match page 2026-10-17
- Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor 2026-10-18
- Vanspor FK v Ümraniyespor — match page 2026-10-18
- İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor 2026-10-18
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor 2026-10-19
- Bursaspor vs Pendikspor — team news & stats 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Iğdır FK, previous: Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK prediction
- Iğdır FK, next: Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK prediction
- Boluspor, previous: Ümraniyespor v Boluspor analysis
- Boluspor, next: Boluspor v Vanspor FK analysis