Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor preview
In the 1. Lig fixture between Kayserispor and Batman Petrolspor, Kayserispor has a 62% chance to win, while Batman Petrolspor stands at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with Kayserispor expected to score 2.72 goals compared to Batman Petrolspor's 0.99.
Kayserispor is in strong recent form with 5 wins and a draw in their last 6 matches. In contrast, Batman Petrolspor has mixed results, winning 3 of their last 6 games. While Over 2.5 goals has a high probability at 72%, the outcome could change if Batman Petrolspor manages to score, as both teams to score sits at 59%.
Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor: model vs market
| Source | Kayserispor | Draw | Batman Petrolspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Published | 60% | 23% | 18% |
| Edge | +18% | -8% | -10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kayserispor below the model: +17.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kayserispor, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor | 1.75 | 1.66 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.67 | 3.71 | +0.04 |
| Batman Petrolspor | 4.21 | 4.52 | +0.31 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kayserispor and Batman Petrolspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.72
- Attack rating (Kayserispor / Batman Petrolspor)
- 1.40 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Kayserispor / Batman Petrolspor)
- 0.63 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kayserispor goals. Columns: Batman Petrolspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kayserispor | 60% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.43 | |
| Batman Petrolspor | 18% | 5.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| No | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kayserispor or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Batman Petrolspor) | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kayserispor win by 2+ | 53% | 1.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kayserispor and Batman Petrolspor recent form
Kayserispor
5W 1D 0L
Batman Petrolspor
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kayserispor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Batman Petrolspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kayserispor at home only, Batman Petrolspor away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Sivasspor v Sarıyer — match page 2026-10-17
- Bodrum FK v Bandırmaspor — match page 2026-10-17
- Iğdır FK vs Boluspor 2026-10-18
- Vanspor FK v Ümraniyespor — match page 2026-10-18
- İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor 2026-10-18
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor 2026-10-19
- Bursaspor vs Pendikspor — team news & stats 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Kayserispor, previous: Antalyaspor – Kayserispor, 2026-10-14
- Batman Petrolspor, previous: Batman Petrolspor – İstanbulspor, 2026-10-14