İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor preview
İstanbulspor faces Antalyaspor with a 36% chance for İstanbulspor to win and a 38% chance for Antalyaspor. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which has a 9% probability. The expectation for Over 2.5 goals stands at 58%, while both teams to score is at 62%.
İstanbulspor's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Antalyaspor has 3 wins in their last 6. The expected goals are 1.48 for İstanbulspor and 1.54 for Antalyaspor. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. Factors like unexpected player performances or tactical changes could influence the outcome.
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor: model vs market
| Source | İstanbulspor | Draw | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Published | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Edge | +14% | -2% | -12% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Antalyaspor, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor | 2.94 | 3.30 | +0.36 |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.38 | -0.10 |
| Antalyaspor | 2.21 | 1.98 | -0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
İstanbulspor and Antalyaspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.30
- Attack rating (İstanbulspor / Antalyaspor)
- 0.99 / 0.91
- Defence rating (İstanbulspor / Antalyaspor)
- 1.37 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: İstanbulspor goals. Columns: Antalyaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | İstanbulspor | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Antalyaspor | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (İstanbulspor or draw) | 57% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Antalyaspor) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Antalyaspor win by 2+ | 16% | 6.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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İstanbulspor and Antalyaspor recent form
İstanbulspor
1W 0D 5L
Antalyaspor
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
İstanbulspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Antalyaspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: İstanbulspor at home only, Antalyaspor away only.
İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: İstanbulspor 0 · draws 3 · Antalyaspor 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-17 | Antalyaspor | 2-2 | İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
| 2023-09-30 | İstanbulspor | 1-2 | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2023-08-03 | İstanbulspor | 1-1 | Antalyaspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-04-19 | İstanbulspor | 3-3 | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2022-10-21 | Antalyaspor | 2-1 | İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Bodrum FK v Bandırmaspor — match page 2026-10-17
- Iğdır FK vs Boluspor 2026-10-18
- Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor 2026-10-18
- Vanspor FK v Ümraniyespor — match page 2026-10-18
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor 2026-10-19
- Bursaspor vs Pendikspor — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 — team news & stats 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- İstanbulspor, previous: Batman Petrolspor – İstanbulspor, 2026-10-14
- İstanbulspor, next: Muğlaspor v İstanbulspor analysis
- Antalyaspor, previous: Antalyaspor – Kayserispor, 2026-10-14