Karpaty vs Kudrivka preview
In the Ukraine Premier League fixture between Karpaty and Kudrivka, the 1X2 probabilities show Karpaty at 63% to win, while Kudrivka is at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 10% chance. Karpaty has an expected goals figure of 2.14 compared to Kudrivka's 0.96, indicating a strong attacking potential.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Karpaty has drawn their last two matches and won one of their last six, while Kudrivka has lost five in a row. Both teams to score stands at 55%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 60%, suggesting potential for more goals, but the teams' current form may lead to a different result.
Karpaty vs Kudrivka: model vs market
| Source | Karpaty | Draw | Kudrivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.96.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Karpaty and Kudrivka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (Karpaty / Kudrivka)
- 1.06 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Karpaty / Kudrivka)
- 0.77 / 1.54
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Karpaty vs Kudrivka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Karpaty goals. Columns: Kudrivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Karpaty vs Kudrivka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Karpaty vs Kudrivka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karpaty | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.63 | |
| Kudrivka | 15% | 6.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Karpaty or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Kudrivka) | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Karpaty win by 2+ | 41% | 2.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Karpaty and Kudrivka recent form
Karpaty
1W 3D 2L
Kudrivka
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Karpaty at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Kudrivka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Karpaty at home only, Kudrivka away only.
Karpaty vs Kudrivka head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Karpaty 0 · draws 2 · Kudrivka 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Karpaty | 1-1 | Kudrivka | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-08-29 | Kudrivka | 2-2 | Karpaty | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar 2026-10-31
- Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv — match page 2026-10-31
- Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv 2026-10-31
- Livyi Bereh v Bukovyna — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Karpaty, previous: Chornomorets v Karpaty analysis
- Kudrivka, previous: Dynamo Kyiv – Kudrivka, 2026-10-23