Kudrivka vs Chornomorets preview
In the match between Kudrivka and Chornomorets, the 1X2 probabilities show Kudrivka at 36%, draw at 26%, and Chornomorets at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both predicted at 57%, indicating a strong possibility for an open game.
Kudrivka's recent form shows 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while Chornomorets has 3 losses in their last 6. Kudrivka has expected goals of 1.06, compared to Chornomorets' 1.90. If Kudrivka can improve their performance, they might challenge the predicted outcome.
Kudrivka vs Chornomorets: model vs market
| Source | Kudrivka | Draw | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Published | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Edge | -4% | -1% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.07.
- The market prices Chornomorets below our published probability: +5.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.68, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Kudrivka vs Chornomorets odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Chornomorets, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kudrivka | 2.24 | 2.57 | +0.33 |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.25 | -0.12 |
| Chornomorets | 2.96 | 2.59 | -0.37 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kudrivka and Chornomorets expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Kudrivka / Chornomorets)
- 0.92 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Kudrivka / Chornomorets)
- 1.77 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kudrivka vs Chornomorets score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kudrivka goals. Columns: Chornomorets goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kudrivka vs Chornomorets goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kudrivka vs Chornomorets
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kudrivka | 32% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Chornomorets | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kudrivka or draw) | 59% | 1.68 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Chornomorets) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chornomorets win by 2+ | 33% | 3.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kudrivka and Chornomorets recent form
Kudrivka
1W 0D 5L
Chornomorets
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kudrivka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Chornomorets away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kudrivka at home only, Chornomorets away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Polessya v Veres Rivne — match page 2026-11-06
- FC Kharkiv v Karpaty — match page 2026-11-07
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy 2026-11-08
- Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka 2026-11-08
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Kudrivka, previous: Karpaty – Kudrivka, 2026-11-02
- Chornomorets, previous: Veres Rivne – Chornomorets, 2026-10-31