Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka preview
In the upcoming match between Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka, the 1X2 probabilities show Bukovyna at 41%, Kolos Kovalivka at 31%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 for Bukovyna, which occurs with an 8% probability.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Bukovyna recording five draws and two losses, while Kolos Kovalivka has two wins and one loss in their last six matches. The expected goals are closely matched, with Bukovyna at 1.27 and Kolos Kovalivka at 1.30. The prediction for Over 2.5 goals stands at 47%, and both teams to score is at 54%, indicating that the match could be tighter than the numbers suggest.
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka: model vs market
| Source | Bukovyna | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Published | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bukovyna, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bukovyna | 2.35 | 2.14 | -0.21 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.20 | -0.05 |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 3.01 | 3.30 | +0.29 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (Bukovyna / Kolos Kovalivka)
- 0.99 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Bukovyna / Kolos Kovalivka)
- 0.98 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bukovyna goals. Columns: Kolos Kovalivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bukovyna | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bukovyna or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Kolos Kovalivka) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bukovyna win by 2+ | 16% | 6.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka recent form
Bukovyna
0W 4D 2L
Kolos Kovalivka
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bukovyna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-5-0
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolos Kovalivka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bukovyna at home only, Kolos Kovalivka away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Polessya v Veres Rivne — match page 2026-11-06
- FC Kharkiv v Karpaty — match page 2026-11-07
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Kudrivka vs Chornomorets 2026-11-07
- Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy 2026-11-08
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Bukovyna, previous: Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna: odds and pick
- Kolos Kovalivka, previous: Kolos Kovalivka v Polessya analysis