Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy preview
In the upcoming match between Zorya Luhansk and LNZ Cherkasy, the 1X2 probabilities show LNZ Cherkasy at 37%, slightly ahead of Zorya Luhansk at 32%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, which occurs with a 14% probability. Zorya Luhansk has an expected goals figure of 0.84, while LNZ Cherkasy is at 0.86, indicating a closely contested match.
Both teams to score has a probability of 34%, while Over 2.5 goals is at just 24%. Zorya Luhansk's recent form includes 3 wins and 2 draws, while LNZ Cherkasy has 3 wins and 2 draws as well. A draw is also a possibility, with a 31% chance according to the model.
Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy: model vs market
| Source | Zorya Luhansk | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 37% | 32% |
| Market | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Published | 31% | 32% | 37% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.51, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy odds movement
Median bookmaker price on LNZ Cherkasy, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk | 2.96 | 3.00 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 3.21 | 3.00 | -0.21 |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 2.51 | 2.41 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zorya Luhansk and LNZ Cherkasy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.70
- Attack rating (Zorya Luhansk / LNZ Cherkasy)
- 0.94 / 0.85
- Defence rating (Zorya Luhansk / LNZ Cherkasy)
- 0.83 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zorya Luhansk goals. Columns: LNZ Cherkasy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 20%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zorya Luhansk | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 | |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.94 |
| No | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zorya Luhansk or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or LNZ Cherkasy) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | LNZ Cherkasy win by 2+ | 11% | 8.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zorya Luhansk and LNZ Cherkasy recent form
Zorya Luhansk
3W 2D 1L
LNZ Cherkasy
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zorya Luhansk at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
LNZ Cherkasy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zorya Luhansk at home only, LNZ Cherkasy away only.
Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Zorya Luhansk 0 · draws 1 · LNZ Cherkasy 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | LNZ Cherkasy | 2-0 | Zorya Luhansk | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-08-02 | Zorya Luhansk | 0-0 | LNZ Cherkasy | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Polessya v Veres Rivne — match page 2026-11-06
- FC Kharkiv v Karpaty — match page 2026-11-07
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Kudrivka vs Chornomorets 2026-11-07
- Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka 2026-11-08
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Zorya Luhansk, previous: Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi prediction
- LNZ Cherkasy, previous: LNZ Cherkasy v FC Kharkiv analysis