Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi preview
In the upcoming fixture, Zorya Luhansk has a 48% chance to win against Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, who has a 24% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 11% probability. Zorya has shown better recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Epitsentr is struggling with 0 wins in the same period.
Both teams to score has a 51% probability, indicating a competitive match. However, Zorya's expected goals are 1.52 compared to Epitsentr's 1.00, suggesting that Zorya may dominate possession and chances. The confidence grade is C, meaning there is some uncertainty in the forecast.
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: model vs market
| Source | Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (Zorya Luhansk / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi)
- 0.97 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Zorya Luhansk / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi)
- 0.92 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zorya Luhansk goals. Columns: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zorya Luhansk | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 24% | 4.22 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zorya Luhansk or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zorya Luhansk win by 2+ | 25% | 3.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi recent form
Zorya Luhansk
2W 3D 1L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zorya Luhansk at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zorya Luhansk at home only, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away only.
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Zorya Luhansk 2 · draws 0 · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Zorya Luhansk | 1-0 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-10-03 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1-2 | Zorya Luhansk | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Karpaty v Kudrivka — match page 2026-10-31
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar 2026-10-31
- Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv — match page 2026-10-31
- Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv 2026-10-31
- Livyi Bereh v Bukovyna — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Zorya Luhansk, previous: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk prediction
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, previous: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv analysis