Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets preview
In the match between Veres Rivne and Chornomorets, the 1X2 probabilities show Veres Rivne at 42%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12%. Chornomorets has a lower probability of winning at 27%, which could impact the outcome if they manage to improve their recent form, as they have drawn 3 of their last 6 matches.
The expected goals indicate Veres Rivne at 0.73 and Chornomorets at 0.99, suggesting a tighter contest. The model predicts a 25% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score. If either team can exceed their expected goals, it could lead to a different result than anticipated.
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets: model vs market
| Source | Veres Rivne | Draw | Chornomorets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 36% | 39% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 23% |
| Published | 42% | 30% | 27% |
| Edge | -6% | +2% | +4% |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -19.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Veres Rivne, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Veres Rivne | 1.91 | 1.91 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
| Chornomorets | 3.94 | 3.94 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Veres Rivne and Chornomorets expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.72
- Attack rating (Veres Rivne / Chornomorets)
- 0.60 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Veres Rivne / Chornomorets)
- 1.15 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Veres Rivne goals. Columns: Chornomorets goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Veres Rivne | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 | |
| Chornomorets | 27% | 3.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 4.04 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.96 |
| No | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Veres Rivne or draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Chornomorets) | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Veres Rivne win by 2+ | 8% | 12.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Veres Rivne and Chornomorets recent form
Veres Rivne
1W 2D 3L
Chornomorets
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Veres Rivne at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Chornomorets away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Veres Rivne at home only, Chornomorets away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2026-10-31
- Karpaty v Kudrivka — match page 2026-10-31
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar 2026-10-31
- Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv — match page 2026-10-31
- LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv 2026-10-31
- Livyi Bereh v Bukovyna — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Veres Rivne, previous: Veres Rivne – Kolos Kovalivka, 2026-10-23
- Chornomorets, previous: Chornomorets v Karpaty analysis