Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv preview
In the match between Kryvbas KR and Dynamo Kyiv, the 1X2 probabilities show Dynamo Kyiv at 46%, while Kryvbas KR stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Dynamo Kyiv's stronger recent form, having won 4 of their last 6 matches. Kryvbas KR, on the other hand, has struggled, recording 5 games without a win.
The model suggests a 50% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability for both teams to score. However, if Kryvbas KR can improve their attacking output, currently at an expected goals figure of 1.12, they might challenge Dynamo Kyiv more effectively than anticipated.
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv: model vs market
| Source | Kryvbas KR | Draw | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kryvbas KR and Dynamo Kyiv expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.68
- Attack rating (Kryvbas KR / Dynamo Kyiv)
- 0.96 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Kryvbas KR / Dynamo Kyiv)
- 1.22 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kryvbas KR goals. Columns: Dynamo Kyiv goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kryvbas KR | 26% | 3.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 46% | 2.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kryvbas KR or draw) | 54% | 1.87 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Dynamo Kyiv) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dynamo Kyiv win by 2+ | 24% | 4.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kryvbas KR and Dynamo Kyiv recent form
Kryvbas KR
0W 3D 3L
Dynamo Kyiv
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kryvbas KR at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dynamo Kyiv away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kryvbas KR at home only, Dynamo Kyiv away only.
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kryvbas KR 0 · draws 0 · Dynamo Kyiv 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Kryvbas KR | 5-6 | Dynamo Kyiv | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-10-26 | Dynamo Kyiv | 4-0 | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Karpaty v Kudrivka — match page 2026-10-31
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar 2026-10-31
- Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv 2026-10-31
- Livyi Bereh v Bukovyna — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Kryvbas KR, previous: Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR: odds and pick
- Dynamo Kyiv, previous: Dynamo Kyiv – Kudrivka, 2026-10-23