Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna preview
In the upcoming match between Livyi Bereh and Bukovyna, the 1X2 probabilities show Bukovyna at 39%, Livyi Bereh at 32%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 11% chance according to our model. Livyi Bereh has an expected goals figure of 1.06, while Bukovyna sits at 0.91.
Both teams to score stands at 40%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 31%. Livyi Bereh's recent form shows 2 draws and 3 losses, while Bukovyna has not won in their last 6 matches, with 4 draws. This could affect the outcome, as both teams struggle for consistency.
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna: model vs market
| Source | Livyi Bereh | Draw | Bukovyna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 34% | 29% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Published | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Edge | +2% | +2% | -3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.26, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bukovyna, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh | 3.03 | 3.08 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.55 | +0.20 |
| Bukovyna | 2.20 | 2.26 | +0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Livyi Bereh and Bukovyna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.97
- Attack rating (Livyi Bereh / Bukovyna)
- 0.83 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Livyi Bereh / Bukovyna)
- 0.76 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Livyi Bereh goals. Columns: Bukovyna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Bukovyna | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.48 |
| No | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Livyi Bereh or draw) | 61% | 1.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Bukovyna) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bukovyna win by 2+ | 11% | 9.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Livyi Bereh and Bukovyna recent form
Livyi Bereh
1W 2D 3L
Bukovyna
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Livyi Bereh at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Bukovyna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Livyi Bereh at home only, Bukovyna away only.
Livyi Bereh vs Bukovyna head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Livyi Bereh 0 · draws 0 · Bukovyna 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Bukovyna | 2-1 | Livyi Bereh | Persha Liga |
| 2025-09-22 | Livyi Bereh | 1-3 | Bukovyna | Persha Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2026-10-31
- Karpaty v Kudrivka — match page 2026-10-31
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar 2026-10-31
- Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv — match page 2026-10-31
- Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Livyi Bereh, previous: Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy: odds and pick
- Bukovyna, previous: Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR: odds and pick