Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR preview
In the upcoming match between Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR, the 1X2 probabilities show Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at 42%, while Kryvbas KR is at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 10% chance. Both teams have struggled recently, with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi losing their last 6 matches and Kryvbas KR having a similar run with 4 losses and 2 draws.
The expected goals indicate Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at 1.33 and Kryvbas KR at 1.14, suggesting a close contest. However, the match could deviate from predictions if either team improves their form or if defensive errors lead to more goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance, while both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating potential for a more dynamic match.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR: model vs market
| Source | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Draw | Kryvbas KR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
| Published | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 2.15 | 2.17 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.33 | -0.05 |
| Kryvbas KR | 3.14 | 3.12 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi / Kryvbas KR)
- 0.79 / 0.84
- Defence rating (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi / Kryvbas KR)
- 1.13 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals. Columns: Kryvbas KR goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Kryvbas KR | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.94 |
| No | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Kryvbas KR) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win by 2+ | 19% | 5.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR recent form
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0W 1D 5L
Kryvbas KR
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
Kryvbas KR away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at home only, Kryvbas KR away only.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0 · draws 0 · Kryvbas KR 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Kryvbas KR | 2-1 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-09-21 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 4-5 | Kryvbas KR | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Polessya v Veres Rivne — match page 2026-11-06
- FC Kharkiv v Karpaty — match page 2026-11-07
- Kudrivka vs Chornomorets 2026-11-07
- Zorya Luhansk vs LNZ Cherkasy 2026-11-08
- Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka 2026-11-08
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, previous: Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi prediction
- Kryvbas KR, previous: Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction