LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv preview
In the fixture between LNZ Cherkasy and FC Kharkiv, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Kharkiv at 41%, compared to LNZ Cherkasy's 25%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 15% chance according to our model. FC Kharkiv's recent form is strong, with 6 consecutive wins, while LNZ Cherkasy has a mixed record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.
The expected goals suggest LNZ Cherkasy will struggle to score, with only 0.81 expected goals compared to FC Kharkiv's 1.11. Over 2.5 goals has a 30% probability, and both teams to score stands at 39%. A surprising result could occur if LNZ Cherkasy improves their attacking output significantly.
LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv: model vs market
| Source | LNZ Cherkasy | Draw | FC Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 34% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 25% | 34% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
LNZ Cherkasy and FC Kharkiv expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.93
- Attack rating (LNZ Cherkasy / FC Kharkiv)
- 0.85 / 1.35
- Defence rating (LNZ Cherkasy / FC Kharkiv)
- 0.68 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: LNZ Cherkasy goals. Columns: FC Kharkiv goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 25% | 3.96 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.97 | |
| FC Kharkiv | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.59 |
| No | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (LNZ Cherkasy or draw) | 59% | 1.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Kharkiv) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Kharkiv win by 2+ | 18% | 5.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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LNZ Cherkasy and FC Kharkiv recent form
LNZ Cherkasy
3W 2D 1L
FC Kharkiv
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
LNZ Cherkasy at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
FC Kharkiv away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: LNZ Cherkasy at home only, FC Kharkiv away only.
LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: LNZ Cherkasy 1 · draws 1 · FC Kharkiv 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | LNZ Cherkasy | 1-1 | FC Kharkiv | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-10-25 | FC Kharkiv | 0-1 | LNZ Cherkasy | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Livyi Bereh v Bukovyna — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- LNZ Cherkasy, previous: Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy: odds and pick
- FC Kharkiv, previous: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv analysis