Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar preview
In the upcoming match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon'-Brovar, the 1X2 probabilities indicate a strong likelihood for Shakhtar Donetsk at 76%, while Obolon'-Brovar sits at just 7%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Shakhtar's expected goals of 2.27 compared to Obolon'-Brovar's 0.55.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty. Factors that could affect the outcome include Shakhtar's recent form, where they have won 5 of their last 6 matches, and Obolon'-Brovar's inconsistent results, with 1 win in their last 5. While Over 2.5 goals stands at 53%, the possibility of both teams to score is lower at 39%, indicating potential challenges for Obolon'-Brovar in finding the net.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar: model vs market
| Source | Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Obolon'-Brovar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 20% | 7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 73% | 20% | 7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.50.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon'-Brovar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (Shakhtar Donetsk / Obolon'-Brovar)
- 1.23 / 0.66
- Defence rating (Shakhtar Donetsk / Obolon'-Brovar)
- 0.63 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Shakhtar Donetsk goals. Columns: Obolon'-Brovar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 73% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.97 | |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 7% | 13.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.86 |
| No | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Shakhtar Donetsk or draw) | 93% | 1.08 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Obolon'-Brovar) | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shakhtar Donetsk win by 2+ | 47% | 2.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon'-Brovar recent form
Shakhtar Donetsk
4W 1D 1L
Obolon'-Brovar
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Shakhtar Donetsk at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Obolon'-Brovar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.88
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Shakhtar Donetsk at home only, Obolon'-Brovar away only.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Shakhtar Donetsk 2 · draws 0 · Obolon'-Brovar 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3-1 | Obolon'-Brovar | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-11-22 | Obolon'-Brovar | 0-6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Karpaty v Kudrivka — match page 2026-10-31
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv — match page 2026-10-31
- Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv 2026-10-31
- Livyi Bereh v Bukovyna — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Shakhtar Donetsk, previous: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk prediction
- Shakhtar Donetsk, next: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: odds and pick
- Obolon'-Brovar, previous: Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar prediction