Ajman vs Sharjah FC preview
In the upcoming match between Ajman and Sharjah FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Ajman at 37%, a draw at 23%, and Sharjah FC leading at 40%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, which occurs with an 8% probability.
Both teams have shown strong attacking potential, with expected goals of 1.80 for Ajman and 1.87 for Sharjah FC. The model indicates a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 72%. However, Ajman’s recent form includes two wins in their last five matches, which could affect their performance against Sharjah FC, who have won four of their last six games.
Ajman vs Sharjah FC: model vs market
| Source | Ajman | Draw | Sharjah FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 23% | 39% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Published | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Edge | +9% | -3% | -6% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ajman vs Sharjah FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sharjah FC, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajman | 3.23 | 3.17 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 3.47 | 3.47 | +0.00 |
| Sharjah FC | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ajman and Sharjah FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.67
- Attack rating (Ajman / Sharjah FC)
- 1.11 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Ajman / Sharjah FC)
- 1.22 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ajman vs Sharjah FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ajman goals. Columns: Sharjah FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ajman vs Sharjah FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ajman vs Sharjah FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ajman | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Sharjah FC | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.40 |
| No | 29% | 3.51 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ajman or draw) | 56% | 1.78 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Sharjah FC) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sharjah FC win by 2+ | 21% | 4.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ajman and Sharjah FC recent form
Ajman
3W 1D 2L
Sharjah FC
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ajman at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Sharjah FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ajman at home only, Sharjah FC away only.
Ajman vs Sharjah FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Ajman 3 · draws 3 · Sharjah FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Ajman | 3-2 | Sharjah FC | League Cup |
| 2026-02-20 | Ajman | 3-2 | Sharjah FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-09-21 | Sharjah FC | 0-1 | Ajman | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-04-22 | Sharjah FC | 4-0 | Ajman | Pro League |
| 2024-12-08 | Ajman | 0-1 | Sharjah FC | Pro League |
| 2024-05-24 | Ajman | 2-2 | Sharjah FC | Pro League |
| 2023-12-24 | Sharjah FC | 1-1 | Ajman | Pro League |
| 2023-04-14 | Ajman | 1-1 | Sharjah FC | Presidents Cup |
| 2023-04-05 | Sharjah FC | 2-1 | Ajman | Presidents Cup |
| 2023-02-10 | Sharjah FC | 4-0 | Ajman | Pro League |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Al-Dhafra v Dubai United — match page 2026-10-16
- Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Al Nasr vs Hatta SC 2026-10-17
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al Ain — match page 2026-10-17
- Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC 2026-10-18