Updated

United Arab Emirates Pro League · Matchday 6

Al Nasr vs Hatta SC

· Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai

Full time2 – 0

Alin prediction was Al Nasr to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Al NasrDrawHatta SC

Al Nasr vs Hatta SC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAl NasrDrawHatta SC
Model51%25%24%
Market67%19%14%
Published63%20%16%
Edge-16%+6%+9%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.17.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Al Nasr vs Hatta SC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Al Nasr, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-15.

Opened 1.40Now 1.36 -0.04
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Al Nasr1.401.36-0.04
Draw4.724.82+0.10
Hatta SC6.106.47+0.38

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Al Nasr and Hatta SC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.82Al Nasr
1.17Hatta SC
Total expected goals
2.99
Attack rating (Al Nasr / Hatta SC)
0.99 / 0.84
Defence rating (Al Nasr / Hatta SC)
0.98 / 1.23

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Al Nasr vs Hatta SC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.1% 4.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5% 1 8.1% 11.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.9% 2 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.8% 3 5.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5% 4+ 3.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4%

Rows: Al Nasr goals. Columns: Hatta SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Al Nasr vs Hatta SC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 57%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Al Nasr vs Hatta SC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Al Nasr63%1.58
Draw20%4.89
Hatta SC16%6.08
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557%1.74
Under 2.543%2.35
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.70
No41%2.43
Double chance1X (Al Nasr or draw)84%1.20
12 (either side)80%1.26
X2 (draw or Hatta SC)37%2.71
Handicap -1Al Nasr win by 2+29%3.40
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Al Nasr and Hatta SC recent form

Al Nasr 1W 3D 2L
Hatta SC 1W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Al Nasr at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Hatta SC away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Al Nasr at home only, Hatta SC away only.

Expected lineups

Al Nasr lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 12 Ahmed Shambih
  2. 55 D. Petrović
  3. 4 Gláuber
  4. 24 Zayed Sultan
  5. 28 A. Toure
  6. 57 I. Faiz
  7. 19 L. Milivojević
  8. 7 K. Agudelo
  9. 13 R. Mierez
  10. 70 A. Hrustić

Bench: Salem Sultan, Gustavo Alemão, Mohammad Abdulbasit, Hussain Mahdi, C. Bedia, Felipe Motta, Wesley Delgado, Abdulla Idrees, João Moreira, S. Salem, Moussa Ndiaye

Hatta SC lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 22 Marzooq Rashed
  2. 74 Adham Khalid Ali Abdelhameed
  3. 52 Bastian Kaua
  4. 33 Bruno Leonardo
  5. 3 Saeed Sulaiman
  6. 80 D. Simon
  7. 10 A. Rchoq
  8. 16 J. Pedroza
  9. 60 D. Coulibaly
  10. 99 B. Faye
  11. 11 F. Ben Arbi

Bench: Omar Saeed, Atiq Walid, Khalid Abdulla, Pedrinho, Hamdan Humaid Hasan Ahmed Albeshr, S. Jaziri, Schlickmann, Saeed Al Mesmari

Al Nasr vs Hatta SC head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Al Nasr 8 · draws 0 · Hatta SC 1.

Al NasrDrawsHatta SC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-10-08Al Nasr4-1Hatta SCLeague Cup
2024-03-28Al Nasr1-0Hatta SCPro League
2023-09-28Hatta SC0-3Al NasrPro League
2021-02-26Al Nasr2-0Hatta SCPro League
2020-11-08Hatta SC0-3Al NasrPro League
2019-12-19Hatta SC1-2Al NasrPro League
2018-03-16Al Nasr2-1Hatta SCPro League
2017-11-17Hatta SC1-5Al NasrPro League
2017-04-14Hatta SC1-0Al NasrPro League

Other Matchday 6 fixtures