Updated

United Arab Emirates Pro League · Matchday 6

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain

· Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai

Full time2 – 0

Alin prediction was Al Ain to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiDrawAl Ain

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceShabab Al Ahli DubaiDrawAl Ain
Model20%22%58%
Market30%25%45%
Published28%24%48%
Edge-10%-3%+13%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.21.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Al Ain below the model: +13.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al Ain expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.21Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2.14Al Ain
Total expected goals
3.35
Attack rating (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai / Al Ain)
1.29 / 1.68
Defence rating (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai / Al Ain)
0.90 / 0.63

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.4% 6.6% 8.0% 5.7% 5.0% 1 3.3% 10.0% 9.7% 6.9% 6.1% 2 2.6% 5.5% 5.9% 4.2% 3.7% 3 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.7% 1.5% 4+ 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6%

Rows: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai goals. Columns: Al Ain goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
63%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Shabab Al Ahli Dubai28%3.60
Draw24%4.09
Al Ain48%2.09
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.54
Under 2.535%2.87
Both teams to scoreYes63%1.59
No37%2.69
Double chance1X (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw)52%1.92
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Al Ain)72%1.38
Handicap -1Al Ain win by 2+36%2.77
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al Ain recent form

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3W 2D 1L
Al Ain 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2
  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Al Ain away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2
  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at home only, Al Ain away only.

Expected lineups

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 22 Hamad Abdullah
  2. 4 W. Faes
  3. 13 Renan
  4. 3 Igor Gomes
  5. 31 Kauan Santos
  6. 24 J. Markelo
  7. 6 S. Ezatolahi
  8. 88 N. Maksimović
  9. 80 Breno Cascardo
  10. 20 S. Azmoun
  11. 9 R. Ghandipour

Bench: E. Irala, Mohammad Juma, D. García, Rikelme, Mateusão, Oumar Keita, Matheus Donelli, Jorge Fernandes, Juan Alvina, Mateus Henrique

Al Ain lineup · 5-3-2

  1. 17 Khalid Eisa
  2. 2 Rafael Rodrigues
  3. 6 Đ. Skoko
  4. 25 Rami Rabia
  5. 4 Y. Ben Khaleq
  6. 19 V. Lazaro
  7. 5 T. Gijselhart
  8. 70 Abdoul Karim Traoré
  9. 10 A. Romero
  10. 13 H. Rahimi
  11. 21 S. Rahimi

Bench: Mohammed Bu Sanda, Marcos Maia, G. Giakoumakis, Erik, B. Ilou, M. Palacios, Hazem Mohammad, H. Muhammed, I. Ndiaye, A. Niang, Joshua Udoh, A. Jašić

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 · draws 3 · Al Ain 4.

Shabab Al Ahli DubaiDrawsAl Ain
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-10Al Ain3-2Shabab Al Ahli DubaiUnited Arab Emirates Pro League
2025-09-25Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0-1Al AinUnited Arab Emirates Pro League
2025-04-07Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0-0Al AinPro League
2025-01-10Al Ain0-1Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
2024-04-27Al Ain1-2Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
2023-11-26Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0-3Al AinPro League
2023-04-01Al Ain1-1Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
2023-03-06Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0-2Al AinPresidents Cup
2022-10-29Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2-1Al AinPro League
2022-05-04Al Ain2-2Shabab Al Ahli DubaiLeague Cup

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