Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC preview
In the match between Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Wahda FC with a 50% chance of winning, compared to Khorfakkan's 23%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs 11% of the time according to our model. Khorfakkan has struggled recently, with a form of D-L-W-L-L-L, while Al Wahda FC has performed better with W-W-W-L-L-L.
The expected goals are 0.98 for Khorfakkan and 1.55 for Al Wahda FC, indicating a potential low-scoring match. Although both teams to score has a 50% probability, the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is at 46%. If Khorfakkan can improve their attack or if Al Wahda FC underperforms, these predictions could change.
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC: model vs market
| Source | Khorfakkan | Draw | Al Wahda FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 28% | 49% |
| Market | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Published | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| Edge | +4% | +5% | -9% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al Wahda FC, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khorfakkan | 4.84 | 4.84 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.96 | 3.92 | -0.04 |
| Al Wahda FC | 1.56 | 1.55 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (Khorfakkan / Al Wahda FC)
- 0.82 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Khorfakkan / Al Wahda FC)
- 1.27 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Khorfakkan goals. Columns: Al Wahda FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khorfakkan | 20% | 5.08 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Al Wahda FC | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Khorfakkan or draw) | 44% | 2.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Al Wahda FC) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Wahda FC win by 2+ | 26% | 3.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Khorfakkan and Al Wahda FC recent form
Khorfakkan
1W 1D 4L
Al Wahda FC
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Khorfakkan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Al Wahda FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Khorfakkan at home only, Al Wahda FC away only.
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Khorfakkan 1 · draws 4 · Al Wahda FC 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Khorfakkan | 1-1 | Al Wahda FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-12-28 | Al Wahda FC | 1-0 | Khorfakkan | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-11-30 | Khorfakkan | 1-2 | Al Wahda FC | League Cup |
| 2025-11-15 | Al Wahda FC | 2-2 | Khorfakkan | League Cup |
| 2025-02-08 | Al Wahda FC | 3-1 | Khorfakkan | Pro League |
| 2024-08-30 | Khorfakkan | 0-1 | Al Wahda FC | Pro League |
| 2024-05-24 | Al Wahda FC | 1-1 | Khorfakkan | Pro League |
| 2023-12-24 | Khorfakkan | 3-2 | Al Wahda FC | Pro League |
| 2023-04-24 | Khorfakkan | 0-2 | Al Wahda FC | Pro League |
| 2022-12-20 | Al Wahda FC | 2-2 | Khorfakkan | Pro League |
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