Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.02.
• Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
• The market prices Al-Jazira below the model: +13.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded 2026-10-16 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Al-Jazira, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-14.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

3.85

Attack rating (Al-Ittihad Kalba / Al-Jazira)

0.88 / 1.44

Defence rating (Al-Ittihad Kalba / Al-Jazira)

1.40 / 0.77

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: Al-Ittihad Kalba goals. Columns: Al-Jazira goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

61%

No goals (0–0)

3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

Al-Ittihad Kalba and Al-Jazira recent form

Al-Ittihad Kalba WLLLDL 1W 1D 4L

Al-Jazira DWWWWW 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Ittihad Kalba at home only, Al-Jazira away only.