Al Ain vs Ajman preview
In the match between Al Ain and Ajman, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Ain at 74%, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1 at 9%. Al Ain's expected goals stand at 2.86, while Ajman has 1.03, indicating a strong attacking performance from Al Ain.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty. Ajman's recent form includes two wins but also three losses, which could impact their performance. While there is a 75% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams to score, Ajman’s lower expected goals may limit their scoring ability, making the outcome less predictable.
Al Ain vs Ajman: model vs market
| Source | Al Ain | Draw | Ajman |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74% | 15% | 10% |
| Market | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Published | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.86 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.30, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Al Ain vs Ajman odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al Ain, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ain | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.53 | 5.50 | -0.03 |
| Ajman | 8.45 | 8.36 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Al Ain and Ajman expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.89
- Attack rating (Al Ain / Ajman)
- 1.49 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Al Ain / Ajman)
- 0.69 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Ain vs Ajman score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Ain goals. Columns: Ajman goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Ain vs Ajman goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Ain vs Ajman
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ain | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.19 | |
| Ajman | 11% | 9.40 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Ain or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Ajman) | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ain win by 2+ | 55% | 1.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Ain and Ajman recent form
Al Ain
4W 1D 1L
Ajman
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Ain at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Ajman away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Ain at home only, Ajman away only.
Al Ain vs Ajman head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Al Ain 6 · draws 2 · Ajman 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Al Ain | 2-3 | Ajman | League Cup |
| 2026-04-05 | Al Ain | 2-0 | Ajman | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-10-30 | Ajman | 0-3 | Al Ain | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-05-19 | Al Ain | 0-0 | Ajman | Pro League |
| 2025-01-15 | Ajman | 4-2 | Al Ain | Pro League |
| 2024-03-15 | Ajman | 0-4 | Al Ain | Pro League |
| 2023-09-23 | Al Ain | 6-0 | Ajman | Pro League |
| 2023-01-27 | Al Ain | 5-1 | Ajman | Pro League |
| 2022-09-02 | Ajman | 1-1 | Al Ain | Pro League |
| 2022-05-22 | Ajman | 0-4 | Al Ain | Pro League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Dubai United vs Khorfakkan 2026-10-30
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad Kalba — match page 2026-10-30
- Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC 2026-11-01
- Sharjah FC v Al Nasr — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Al Ain, previous: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain: odds and pick
- Ajman, previous: Ajman v Sharjah FC analysis