Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra preview
In the upcoming match between Al-Wasl FC and Al-Dhafra, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Wasl FC at 69%, while Al-Dhafra sits at 13%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. Al-Wasl FC has a strong expected goals figure of 2.52 compared to Al-Dhafra's 1.03, suggesting a clear attacking advantage.
However, Al-Dhafra's recent form includes two wins in their last six matches, which could challenge expectations. Additionally, while our model indicates a 69% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, any defensive improvements from Al-Dhafra could impact these outcomes. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty.
Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra: model vs market
| Source | Al-Wasl FC | Draw | Al-Dhafra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al-Wasl FC and Al-Dhafra expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.55
- Attack rating (Al-Wasl FC / Al-Dhafra)
- 1.53 / 0.85
- Defence rating (Al-Wasl FC / Al-Dhafra)
- 0.85 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Wasl FC goals. Columns: Al-Dhafra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Wasl FC | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.47 | |
| Al-Dhafra | 13% | 7.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Wasl FC or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Dhafra) | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Wasl FC win by 2+ | 48% | 2.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Al-Wasl FC and Al-Dhafra recent form
Al-Wasl FC
4W 1D 1L
Al-Dhafra
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Wasl FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
Al-Dhafra away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Wasl FC at home only, Al-Dhafra away only.
Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al-Wasl FC 1 · draws 0 · Al-Dhafra 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Al-Wasl FC | 3-0 | Al-Dhafra | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-08-23 | Al-Dhafra | 3-1 | Al-Wasl FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al Ain v Ajman — match page 2026-10-29
- Dubai United vs Khorfakkan 2026-10-30
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad Kalba — match page 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Al-Wasl FC, previous: Baniyas SC – Al-Wasl FC, 2026-10-16
- Al-Dhafra, previous: Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United prediction