Updated

United Arab Emirates Pro League · Matchday 7

Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC

· Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Alin prediction Al Wahda FC to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Al Wahda FCDrawHatta SC
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.92.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC preview

In the match between Al Wahda FC and Hatta SC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Wahda FC at 56%, while Hatta SC stands at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.78 for Al Wahda FC compared to 0.92 for Hatta SC.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 51%, indicating a balanced potential for scoring. However, the recent form reveals Al Wahda FC has won 4 of their last 6 matches, while Hatta SC has lost 5 of their last 6. This disparity could influence the outcome, making it less predictable than the numbers suggest.

Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAl Wahda FCDrawHatta SC
Model56%25%18%
Market———
Published56%25%18%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Al Wahda FC and Hatta SC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.78Al Wahda FC
0.92Hatta SC
Total expected goals
2.70
Attack rating (Al Wahda FC / Hatta SC)
0.96 / 0.75
Defence rating (Al Wahda FC / Hatta SC)
0.87 / 1.23

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.8% 5.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 1 10.8% 12.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 2 10.6% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 3 6.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Al Wahda FC goals. Columns: Hatta SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
51%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Al Wahda FC56%1.77
Draw25%3.95
Hatta SC18%5.51
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.97
Under 2.549%2.03
Both teams to scoreYes51%1.95
No49%2.05
Double chance1X (Al Wahda FC or draw)82%1.22
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Hatta SC)44%2.30
Handicap -1Al Wahda FC win by 2+33%3.05
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Al Wahda FC and Hatta SC recent form

Al Wahda FC 4W 0D 2L
Hatta SC 1W 0D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Al Wahda FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Hatta SC away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Al Wahda FC at home only, Hatta SC away only.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Al Wahda FC to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Al Wahda FC