Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC preview
In the match between Al Wahda FC and Hatta SC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Wahda FC at 56%, while Hatta SC stands at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.78 for Al Wahda FC compared to 0.92 for Hatta SC.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 51%, indicating a balanced potential for scoring. However, the recent form reveals Al Wahda FC has won 4 of their last 6 matches, while Hatta SC has lost 5 of their last 6. This disparity could influence the outcome, making it less predictable than the numbers suggest.
Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC: model vs market
| Source | Al Wahda FC | Draw | Hatta SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 56% | 25% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al Wahda FC and Hatta SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.70
- Attack rating (Al Wahda FC / Hatta SC)
- 0.96 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Al Wahda FC / Hatta SC)
- 0.87 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Wahda FC goals. Columns: Hatta SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Wahda FC | 56% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Hatta SC | 18% | 5.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| No | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Wahda FC or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Hatta SC) | 44% | 2.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Wahda FC win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Wahda FC and Hatta SC recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Wahda FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Hatta SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Wahda FC at home only, Hatta SC away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al Ain v Ajman — match page 2026-10-29
- Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Dubai United vs Khorfakkan 2026-10-30
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad Kalba — match page 2026-10-30
- Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC 2026-11-01
- Sharjah FC v Al Nasr — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Al Wahda FC, previous: Khorfakkan – Al Wahda FC, 2026-10-18
- Hatta SC, previous: Al Nasr v Hatta SC analysis