Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC preview
In the UAE Pro League fixture between Al-Jazira and Baniyas SC, Al-Jazira has a strong 71% probability of winning, compared to Baniyas SC's 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Al-Jazira's expected goals of 2.48 against Baniyas SC's 0.91.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Baniyas SC has struggled recently, losing their last 6 matches. While there is a 66% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score, any unexpected improvement from Baniyas SC could change the outcome.
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC: model vs market
| Source | Al-Jazira | Draw | Baniyas SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al-Jazira and Baniyas SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.38
- Attack rating (Al-Jazira / Baniyas SC)
- 1.41 / 0.77
- Defence rating (Al-Jazira / Baniyas SC)
- 0.83 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Jazira goals. Columns: Baniyas SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Jazira | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.53 | |
| Baniyas SC | 11% | 9.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.80 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Jazira or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Baniyas SC) | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Jazira win by 2+ | 50% | 2.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al-Jazira and Baniyas SC recent form
Al-Jazira
4W 2D 0L
Baniyas SC
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Jazira at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Baniyas SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Jazira at home only, Baniyas SC away only.
Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al-Jazira 2 · draws 0 · Baniyas SC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Al-Jazira | 4-1 | Baniyas SC | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-09-19 | Baniyas SC | 0-4 | Al-Jazira | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al Ain v Ajman — match page 2026-10-29
- Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Dubai United vs Khorfakkan 2026-10-30
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad Kalba — match page 2026-10-30
- Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Sharjah FC v Al Nasr — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Al-Jazira, previous: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira prediction
- Baniyas SC, previous: Baniyas SC – Al-Wasl FC, 2026-10-16