Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba preview
In the match between Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba, the 1X2 probabilities show Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 71%, while Al-Ittihad Kalba is at 12%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.70 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai compared to 1.08 for Al-Ittihad Kalba.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has a strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while Al-Ittihad Kalba has only 1 win in their last 6 games. The model predicts a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 62%. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating that unexpected results could occur.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba: model vs market
| Source | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Draw | Al-Ittihad Kalba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.78
- Attack rating (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai / Al-Ittihad Kalba)
- 1.29 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai / Al-Ittihad Kalba)
- 0.82 / 1.39
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai goals. Columns: Al-Ittihad Kalba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.89 | |
| Al-Ittihad Kalba | 12% | 8.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Ittihad Kalba) | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win by 2+ | 51% | 1.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba recent form
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4W 1D 1L
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Al-Ittihad Kalba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at home only, Al-Ittihad Kalba away only.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 · draws 1 · Al-Ittihad Kalba 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 5-1 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2025-10-17 | Al-Ittihad Kalba | 0-0 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al Ain v Ajman — match page 2026-10-29
- Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Dubai United vs Khorfakkan 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, previous: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain: odds and pick
- Al-Ittihad Kalba, previous: Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Jazira prediction