Dubai United vs Khorfakkan preview
Dubai United faces Khorfakkan with a 49% chance of winning compared to Khorfakkan's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 7% probability. Dubai United has an expected goals figure of 2.47, while Khorfakkan sits at 1.95.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form; Dubai United's last five matches include two wins, while Khorfakkan has only one win in their last five. The model predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 82% and both teams to score at 79%. However, if either team fails to convert chances or if defensive errors occur, these predictions could be impacted.
Dubai United vs Khorfakkan: model vs market
| Source | Dubai United | Draw | Khorfakkan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 20% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 20% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.95.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dubai United and Khorfakkan expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.42
- Attack rating (Dubai United / Khorfakkan)
- 1.24 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Dubai United / Khorfakkan)
- 1.58 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dubai United vs Khorfakkan score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dubai United goals. Columns: Khorfakkan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dubai United vs Khorfakkan goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 79%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dubai United vs Khorfakkan
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dubai United | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.94 | |
| Khorfakkan | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 18% | 5.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79% | 1.26 |
| No | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dubai United or draw) | 70% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Khorfakkan) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dubai United win by 2+ | 31% | 3.22 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dubai United and Khorfakkan recent form
Dubai United
2W 1D 3L
Khorfakkan
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dubai United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Khorfakkan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dubai United at home only, Khorfakkan away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al Ain v Ajman — match page 2026-10-29
- Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad Kalba — match page 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Dubai United, previous: Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United prediction
- Khorfakkan, previous: Khorfakkan – Al Wahda FC, 2026-10-18