Sharjah FC vs Al Nasr preview
In the upcoming match between Sharjah FC and Al Nasr, the 1X2 probabilities show Sharjah FC at 39%, Al Nasr at 34%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Sharjah FC winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Al Nasr has only won 2 of their last 6.
The model indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. However, if either team fails to convert their chances or if the match ends in a defensive stalemate, these predictions could be inaccurate. The expected goals are close, with Sharjah FC at 1.56 and Al Nasr at 1.45, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Sharjah FC vs Al Nasr: model vs market
| Source | Sharjah FC | Draw | Al Nasr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 26% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sharjah FC and Al Nasr expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (Sharjah FC / Al Nasr)
- 1.19 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Sharjah FC / Al Nasr)
- 1.00 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sharjah FC vs Al Nasr score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sharjah FC goals. Columns: Al Nasr goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sharjah FC vs Al Nasr goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sharjah FC vs Al Nasr
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sharjah FC | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Al Nasr | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| No | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sharjah FC or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Al Nasr) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sharjah FC win by 2+ | 20% | 5.00 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Sharjah FC and Al Nasr recent form
Sharjah FC
4W 0D 2L
Al Nasr
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sharjah FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Nasr away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sharjah FC at home only, Al Nasr away only.
Sharjah FC vs Al Nasr head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sharjah FC 1 · draws 0 · Al Nasr 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Sharjah FC | 1-2 | Al Nasr | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
| 2026-01-06 | Al Nasr | 2-4 | Sharjah FC | United Arab Emirates Pro League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al Ain v Ajman — match page 2026-10-29
- Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Dhafra — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Dubai United vs Khorfakkan 2026-10-30
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai v Al-Ittihad Kalba — match page 2026-10-30
- Al Wahda FC vs Hatta SC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Al-Jazira vs Baniyas SC 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Sharjah FC, previous: Ajman v Sharjah FC analysis
- Al Nasr, previous: Al Nasr v Hatta SC analysis