Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha preview
Fenerbahçe faces Slavia Praha with a 58% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 24% and Slavia Praha at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with an 11% chance. Fenerbahçe has an expected goals figure of 1.86 compared to Slavia Praha's 0.94, indicating a strong attacking edge.
While Fenerbahçe's recent form shows 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, Slavia Praha has also performed well with 4 wins in their last 6. The model suggests Over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 52%. However, the confidence grade is C, meaning unexpected outcomes could occur, particularly if Slavia Praha's form improves.
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: model vs market
| Source | Fenerbahçe | Draw | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.94.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.80
- Attack rating (Fenerbahçe / Slavia Praha)
- 1.37 / 1.25
- Defence rating (Fenerbahçe / Slavia Praha)
- 0.59 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Fenerbahçe goals. Columns: Slavia Praha goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 | |
| Slavia Praha | 18% | 5.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| No | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Fenerbahçe or draw) | 82% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Slavia Praha) | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win by 2+ | 34% | 2.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha recent form
Fenerbahçe
3W 2D 1L
Slavia Praha
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fenerbahçe at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slavia Praha away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Fenerbahçe at home only, Slavia Praha away only.
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Before and after this match
- Fenerbahçe, previous: Fenerbahçe v Alanyaspor analysis
- Slavia Praha, previous: Slavia Praha v Hradec Králové analysis