Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové preview
In the Czech Liga fixture between Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové, the 1X2 probabilities show Slavia Praha at 75% and Hradec Králové at 8%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which occurs with a 12% chance. Slavia Praha has an expected goals figure of 2.52, while Hradec Králové sits at 0.75.
While Slavia Praha's recent form is strong with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, Hradec Králové has struggled, winning just 2 of their last 6. The model also indicates a 63% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score. However, Hradec Králové's past head-to-head advantage, with 2 wins in the last 3 encounters, could challenge Slavia Praha's dominance.
Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové: model vs market
| Source | Slavia Praha | Draw | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Published | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slavia Praha, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 1.32 | 1.29 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 5.05 | 5.29 | +0.25 |
| Hradec Králové | 8.00 | 8.56 | +0.56 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (Slavia Praha / Hradec Králové)
- 1.43 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Slavia Praha / Hradec Králové)
- 0.81 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slavia Praha goals. Columns: Hradec Králové goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.55 | |
| Hradec Králové | 11% | 9.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| No | 48% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slavia Praha or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Hradec Králové) | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win by 2+ | 46% | 2.15 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Slavia Praha and Hradec Králové recent form
Slavia Praha
4W 0D 2L
Hradec Králové
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slavia Praha at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hradec Králové away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slavia Praha at home only, Hradec Králové away only.
Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Slavia Praha 5 · draws 3 · Hradec Králové 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hradec Králové | 3-1 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2026-04-19 | Hradec Králové | 2-1 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2025-07-20 | Slavia Praha | 2-2 | Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| 2025-04-05 | Slavia Praha | 2-1 | Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| 2024-11-03 | Hradec Králové | 1-1 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2024-04-28 | Hradec Králové | 1-2 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2023-12-06 | Hradec Králové | 0-2 | Slavia Praha | Cup |
| 2023-07-22 | Slavia Praha | 2-0 | Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| 2023-04-30 | Slavia Praha | 1-1 | Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| 2023-01-08 | Slavia Praha | 1-0 | Hradec Králové | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- Slavia Praha, previous: Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha prediction
- Slavia Praha, next: Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha, 2026-10-20
- Hradec Králové, previous: Hradec Králové vs Artis prediction