Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno preview
In the fixture between Slovácko and Zbrojovka Brno, the 1X2 probabilities show Slovácko at 38%, Zbrojovka Brno at 33%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance. The expected goals are 1.22 for Slovácko and 1.17 for Zbrojovka Brno, indicating a closely contested match.
Both teams to score stands at 50%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 43%. Slovácko's recent form is W-D-L-D-D-L, while Zbrojovka Brno has L-L-W-L-W-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, meaning there is some uncertainty about the outcome, which could impact the predictions.
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno: model vs market
| Source | Slovácko | Draw | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Published | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.44, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slovácko, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovácko | 2.40 | 2.40 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.29 | +0.04 |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.80 | 2.84 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slovácko and Zbrojovka Brno expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Slovácko / Zbrojovka Brno)
- 0.90 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Slovácko / Zbrojovka Brno)
- 1.01 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slovácko goals. Columns: Zbrojovka Brno goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovácko | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| No | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slovácko or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Zbrojovka Brno) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovácko win by 2+ | 16% | 6.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Slovácko and Zbrojovka Brno recent form
Slovácko
1W 3D 2L
Zbrojovka Brno
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slovácko at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zbrojovka Brno away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slovácko at home only, Zbrojovka Brno away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice 2026-10-17
- Pardubice vs Zlin — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Artis vs Bohemians 1905 2026-10-17
- Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha 2026-10-18
- FK Jablonec v Plzen — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Slovácko, previous: Slovan Liberec – Slovácko, 2026-10-11
- Zbrojovka Brno, previous: Zbrojovka Brno – FK Jablonec, 2026-10-10