Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec preview
In the Czech Liga fixture between Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec, the 1X2 probabilities show Sigma Olomouc at 39%, Slovan Liberec at 33%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Sigma Olomouc, with a probability of 11%. Both teams to score sits at 49%, indicating a near-even chance for both sides to find the net.
Sigma Olomouc's expected goals are 1.29 compared to Slovan Liberec's 1.08. Recent form shows Sigma Olomouc with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Slovan Liberec has won 5 of their last 6. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, suggesting uncertainty in the match's result.
Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec: model vs market
| Source | Sigma Olomouc | Draw | Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Published | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Edge | +3% | +3% | -6% |
- The market prices Sigma Olomouc below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sigma Olomouc, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc | 2.45 | 2.50 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 3.41 | 3.46 | +0.05 |
| Slovan Liberec | 2.62 | 2.59 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.37
- Attack rating (Sigma Olomouc / Slovan Liberec)
- 1.26 / 0.85
- Defence rating (Sigma Olomouc / Slovan Liberec)
- 1.01 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sigma Olomouc goals. Columns: Slovan Liberec goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sigma Olomouc | 38% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Slovan Liberec | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sigma Olomouc or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Slovan Liberec) | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sigma Olomouc win by 2+ | 19% | 5.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec recent form
Sigma Olomouc
3W 1D 2L
Slovan Liberec
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sigma Olomouc at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slovan Liberec away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sigma Olomouc at home only, Slovan Liberec away only.
Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sigma Olomouc 1 · draws 0 · Slovan Liberec 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Slovan Liberec | 1-0 | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| 2025-08-02 | Sigma Olomouc | 2-1 | Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice 2026-10-17
- Pardubice vs Zlin — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Artis vs Bohemians 1905 2026-10-17
- Slovácko v Zbrojovka Brno — match page 2026-10-18
- Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha 2026-10-18
- FK Jablonec v Plzen — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Sigma Olomouc, previous: Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc: odds and pick
- Slovan Liberec, previous: Slovan Liberec – Slovácko, 2026-10-11