Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice preview
In the Czech Liga fixture between Mlada Boleslav and Teplice, Mlada Boleslav has a 40% chance to win compared to Teplice's 35%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the model's expectation of 1.65 expected goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.54 for Teplice.
Both teams to score has a 64% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 62%. Recent form shows Mlada Boleslav with two wins in their last three matches, while Teplice has two losses in their last three. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating that while the predictions are based on data, there is room for unexpected outcomes.
Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: model vs market
| Source | Mlada Boleslav | Draw | Teplice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Published | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Edge | -6% | 0% | +7% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mlada Boleslav, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.52 | -0.02 |
| Teplice | 3.34 | 3.35 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mlada Boleslav and Teplice expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.12
- Attack rating (Mlada Boleslav / Teplice)
- 1.15 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Mlada Boleslav / Teplice)
- 0.97 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mlada Boleslav goals. Columns: Teplice goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mlada Boleslav | 45% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Teplice | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mlada Boleslav or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Teplice) | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mlada Boleslav win by 2+ | 21% | 4.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mlada Boleslav and Teplice recent form
Mlada Boleslav
3W 1D 2L
Teplice
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mlada Boleslav at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Teplice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mlada Boleslav at home only, Teplice away only.
Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Mlada Boleslav 5 · draws 2 · Teplice 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Mlada Boleslav | 0-2 | Teplice | Czech Liga |
| 2026-02-15 | Mlada Boleslav | 0-0 | Teplice | Czech Liga |
| 2025-09-13 | Teplice | 2-3 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2025-05-04 | Mlada Boleslav | 1-0 | Teplice | Czech Liga |
| 2025-02-08 | Mlada Boleslav | 2-1 | Teplice | Czech Liga |
| 2024-09-01 | Teplice | 1-2 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2024-04-13 | Mlada Boleslav | 1-2 | Teplice | Czech Liga |
| 2023-11-04 | Teplice | 1-0 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2023-04-25 | Teplice | 1-1 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2022-11-06 | Mlada Boleslav | 3-0 | Teplice | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Pardubice vs Zlin — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Artis vs Bohemians 1905 2026-10-17
- Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Slovácko v Zbrojovka Brno — match page 2026-10-18
- Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha 2026-10-18
- FK Jablonec v Plzen — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Mlada Boleslav, previous: Bohemians 1905 v Mlada Boleslav analysis
- Teplice, previous: Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc: odds and pick