Updated

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha

· Baku Olympic Stadium, Baku· Referee Sebastian Gishamer

Full time2 – 0

Alin prediction was Slavia Praha to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 2

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Sabah FADrawSlavia Praha

Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSabah FADrawSlavia Praha
Model45%28%27%
Market26%25%49%
Published31%25%44%
Edge+5%+1%-6%
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Slavia Praha, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-07.

Opened 1.95Now 1.94 -0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Sabah FA3.503.71+0.21
Draw3.753.90+0.15
Slavia Praha1.951.94-0.01

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Sabah FA and Slavia Praha expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.55Sabah FA
1.16Slavia Praha
Total expected goals
2.70
Attack rating (Sabah FA / Slavia Praha)
1.26 / 1.39
Defence rating (Sabah FA / Slavia Praha)
0.66 / 0.65

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.9% 6.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.6% 1 9.2% 13.2% 6.9% 2.7% 1.0% 2 8.0% 9.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.8% 3 4.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 4+ 2.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: Sabah FA goals. Columns: Slavia Praha goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Sabah FA31%3.26
Draw25%3.94
Slavia Praha44%2.28
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.97
Under 2.549%2.03
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.81
No45%2.23
Double chance1X (Sabah FA or draw)56%1.78
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Slavia Praha)69%1.44
Handicap -1Slavia Praha win by 2+11%8.79
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Sabah FA and Slavia Praha recent form

Sabah FA 4W 1D 1L
Slavia Praha 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Sabah FA at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Sabah FA at home only, Slavia Praha away only.

Injuries & availability

Slavia Praha absences

  • A. Ouanda injury
  • D. Jurasek thigh injury
  • E. Pitak health problems
  • H. Kante off the roster
  • I. Ogbu achilles tendon injury
  • I. Schranz health problems
  • M. Konecny suspended
  • O. Kolar off the roster
  • P. Kacor shoulder injury
  • S. Chaloupek muscle injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Sabah FA lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 92 S. Pokatilov
  2. 27 T. Puchacz
  3. 4 A. McCarthy
  4. 3 S. Solvet
  5. 80 A. Zedadka
  6. 13 I. Lepinjica
  7. 7 U. Rahmonaliyev
  8. 21 V. Simić
  9. 37 Du Queiroz
  10. 11 K. Parris
  11. 20 J. Mickels

Bench: A. Ramazanov, R. Daşdəmirov, A. Xaybulayev, C. Nwachukwu, A. Isaev, R. Rüstəmli, T. Mütəllimov, Erivaldo Almeida, X. Severina, Rodrigo Fernandes, R. Mirzəmmədov, P. Mbina

Slavia Praha lineup · 3-4-2-1

  1. 35 J. Markovič
  2. 4 D. Zima
  3. 6 A. N'Guessan
  4. 3 T. Holeš
  5. 10 D. Šturm
  6. 23 M. Sadílek
  7. 16 D. Moses
  8. 27 T. Vlček
  9. 20 E. Ayaosi
  10. 17 L. Provod
  11. 25 T. Chorý

Bench: O. Kubiak, M. Chytil, S. Isife, M. E. Suleiman, T. Diakité, N. Domchak, W. Nowak, Adam Rezek, D. Barcot, Petr Potměšil

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

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