Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha: model vs market
| Source | Sabah FA | Draw | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sabah FA and Slavia Praha expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.21
- Attack rating (Sabah FA / Slavia Praha)
- 1.40 / 1.47
- Defence rating (Sabah FA / Slavia Praha)
- 0.72 / 0.71
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sabah FA goals. Columns: Slavia Praha goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sabah FA | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Slavia Praha | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sabah FA or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Slavia Praha) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sabah FA win by 2+ | 28% | 3.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sabah FA and Slavia Praha recent form
Sabah FA
5W 0D 1L
Slavia Praha
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sabah FA at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sabah FA at home only, Slavia Praha away only.
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