Qabala vs Sabah FA preview
In the fixture between Qabala and Sabah FA, the 1X2 probabilities show a clear advantage for Sabah FA at 67%, compared to Qabala's 11%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with Sabah FA's expected goals of 2.02 against Qabala's 0.70. This suggests a strong performance from Sabah FA.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if Qabala manages to improve their recent form, which includes three losses in their last five games. Additionally, while the model indicates a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance for both teams to score, Qabala's low expected goals could limit scoring opportunities.
Qabala vs Sabah FA: model vs market
| Source | Qabala | Draw | Sabah FA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10% | 21% | 68% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 10% | 21% | 68% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Qabala and Sabah FA expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.67
- Attack rating (Qabala / Sabah FA)
- 0.70 / 1.48
- Defence rating (Qabala / Sabah FA)
- 1.11 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Qabala vs Sabah FA score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Qabala goals. Columns: Sabah FA goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Qabala vs Sabah FA goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Qabala vs Sabah FA
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qabala | 10% | 9.85 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.67 | |
| Sabah FA | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Qabala or draw) | 32% | 3.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Sabah FA) | 90% | 1.11 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sabah FA win by 2+ | 44% | 2.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Qabala and Sabah FA recent form
Qabala
1W 1D 4L
Sabah FA
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Qabala at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
Sabah FA away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Qabala at home only, Sabah FA away only.
Qabala vs Sabah FA head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Qabala 2 · draws 2 · Sabah FA 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Sabah FA | 7-1 | Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| 2026-03-05 | Qabala | 2-2 | Sabah FA | Cup |
| 2026-02-16 | Qabala | 0-1 | Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| 2026-02-04 | Sabah FA | 0-0 | Qabala | Cup |
| 2025-11-03 | Sabah FA | 1-0 | Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| 2024-05-12 | Qabala | 2-0 | Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| 2024-03-09 | Sabah FA | 2-1 | Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| 2023-12-22 | Qabala | 1-0 | Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| 2023-08-06 | Sabah FA | 5-0 | Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| 2023-04-02 | Sabah FA | 3-2 | Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Sumqayıt vs Araz — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku 2026-10-17
- Turan v Imisli FK — match page 2026-10-18
- Kapaz vs Zira 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Qabala, previous: Sumqayıt – Qabala, 2026-10-10
- Sabah FA, previous: Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha prediction
- Sabah FA, next: Sabah FA v Borussia Dortmund analysis