Turan vs Imisli FK preview
In the fixture between Turan and Imisli FK, the 1X2 probabilities show Turan at 58% to win, while Imisli FK stands at just 14%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 16% chance. Turan's expected goals are 1.53 compared to Imisli FK's 0.64, indicating a significant advantage for Turan.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the prediction. Additionally, both teams to score has a low probability at 38%, and Over 2.5 goals is only at 37%. Imisli FK's recent form, with 4 losses in their last 6 matches, could also impact the outcome, making it possible for the match to deviate from the expected results.
Turan vs Imisli FK: model vs market
| Source | Turan | Draw | Imisli FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 28% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 58% | 28% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Turan and Imisli FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.17
- Attack rating (Turan / Imisli FK)
- 0.95 / 0.70
- Defence rating (Turan / Imisli FK)
- 0.75 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Turan vs Imisli FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Turan goals. Columns: Imisli FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Turan vs Imisli FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Turan vs Imisli FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turan | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Imisli FK | 14% | 6.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.62 |
| No | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Turan or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Imisli FK) | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Turan win by 2+ | 31% | 3.20 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Turan and Imisli FK recent form
Turan
3W 2D 1L
Imisli FK
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Turan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Imisli FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Turan at home only, Imisli FK away only.
Turan vs Imisli FK head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Turan 1 · draws 2 · Imisli FK 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Imisli FK | 1-1 | Turan | Premyer Liqa |
| 2026-03-01 | Turan | 0-0 | Imisli FK | Premyer Liqa |
| 2025-08-16 | Imisli FK | 0-1 | Turan | Premyer Liqa |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Sumqayıt vs Araz — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Qabala v Sabah FA — match page 2026-10-17
- Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku 2026-10-17
- Kapaz vs Zira 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Turan, previous: Safa Baku vs Turan prediction
- Imisli FK, previous: Imisli FK v Qarabag analysis