Viking vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips 13/10/2026

Viking vs Bayern Munich: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Viking	Draw	Bayern Munich
Model	55%	21%	24%
Market	5%	8%	86%
Published	18%	12%	71%
Edge	+12%	+3%	-16%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Viking vs Bayern Munich odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bayern Munich, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-07.

Opened 1.10Now 1.10 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Viking	17.00	18.52	+1.52
Draw	11.00	11.25	+0.25
Bayern Munich	1.10	1.10	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Viking and Bayern Munich expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.39Viking

1.58Bayern Munich

Total expected goals: 3.97
Attack rating (Viking / Bayern Munich): 1.54 / 1.86
Defence rating (Viking / Bayern Munich): 0.67 / 0.83

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Viking vs Bayern Munich score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.7% 1 3.8% 7.8% 5.6% 3.0% 1.7% 2 5.4% 8.5% 6.7% 3.6% 2.0% 3 4.3% 6.8% 5.4% 2.8% 1.6% 4+ 4.5% 7.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.7%

Rows: Viking goals. Columns: Bayern Munich goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Viking vs Bayern Munich goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 91%

Over 2.5 76%

Over 3.5 56%

Both teams to score: 73%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Viking vs Bayern Munich

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Viking	18%	5.69
	Draw	12%	8.65
	Bayern Munich	71%	1.41
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	76%	1.32
	Under 2.5	24%	4.12
Both teams to score	Yes	73%	1.37
	No	27%	3.68
Double chance	1X (Viking or draw)	29%	3.43
	12 (either side)	88%	1.13
	X2 (draw or Bayern Munich)	82%	1.21
Handicap -1	Bayern Munich win by 2+	12%	8.67
	Push (exactly one goal)	13%	—