Viking vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips 13/10/2026

Viking vs Bayern Munich: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Viking	Draw	Bayern Munich
Model	51%	21%	27%
Market	—	—	—
Published	51%	21%	27%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.67.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Viking and Bayern Munich expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.30Viking

1.67Bayern Munich

Total expected goals: 3.97
Attack rating (Viking / Bayern Munich): 1.57 / 1.80
Defence rating (Viking / Bayern Munich): 0.73 / 0.78

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Viking vs Bayern Munich score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.6% 2.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.9% 1 3.6% 8.0% 6.1% 3.4% 2.1% 2 5.0% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 2.4% 3 3.8% 6.4% 5.3% 3.0% 1.8% 4+ 3.8% 6.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.8%

Rows: Viking goals. Columns: Bayern Munich goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Viking vs Bayern Munich goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 91%

Over 2.5 76%

Over 3.5 56%

Both teams to score: 74%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Viking vs Bayern Munich

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Viking	51%	1.95
	Draw	21%	4.68
	Bayern Munich	27%	3.66
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	76%	1.32
	Under 2.5	24%	4.12
Both teams to score	Yes	74%	1.36
	No	26%	3.81
Double chance	1X (Viking or draw)	73%	1.38
	12 (either side)	79%	1.27
	X2 (draw or Bayern Munich)	49%	2.05
Handicap -1	Viking win by 2+	32%	3.13
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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