Updated

UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Inter vs Club Brugge KV

· San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan· Referee Rohit Saggi

Full time3 – 4

Alin prediction was Inter to win

Bblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
InterDrawClub Brugge KV

Inter vs Club Brugge KV: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceInterDrawClub Brugge KV
Model39%25%36%
Market77%15%8%
Published67%17%15%
Edge-9%+2%+7%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Inter vs Club Brugge KV odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Inter, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-07.

Opened 1.26Now 1.25 -0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Inter1.261.25-0.01
Draw5.706.45+0.75
Club Brugge KV10.5011.50+1.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Inter and Club Brugge KV expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.71Inter
1.65Club Brugge KV
Total expected goals
3.36
Attack rating (Inter / Club Brugge KV)
1.47 / 1.52
Defence rating (Inter / Club Brugge KV)
0.86 / 0.62

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Inter vs Club Brugge KV score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.5% 4.8% 4.7% 2.6% 1.6% 1 4.9% 10.8% 8.1% 4.5% 2.7% 2 5.1% 8.4% 6.9% 3.8% 2.3% 3 2.9% 4.8% 3.9% 2.2% 1.3% 4+ 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.8%

Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Club Brugge KV goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Inter vs Club Brugge KV goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
67%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Inter vs Club Brugge KV

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Inter67%1.49
Draw17%5.76
Club Brugge KV15%6.51
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.53
Under 2.535%2.87
Both teams to scoreYes67%1.49
No33%3.04
Double chance1X (Inter or draw)85%1.18
12 (either side)83%1.21
X2 (draw or Club Brugge KV)33%3.06
Handicap -1Inter win by 2+20%4.89
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Inter and Club Brugge KV recent form

Inter 4W 1D 1L
Club Brugge KV 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Injuries & availability

Inter absences

  • C. Jones thigh injury
  • J. Stones injury

Club Brugge KV absences

  • J. Ordonez foot injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Inter lineup · 3-5-2

  1. 1 Josep Martínez
  2. 95 A. Bastoni
  3. 25 M. Akanji
  4. 31 Y. Bisseck
  5. 32 F. Dimarco
  6. 7 P. Zieliński
  7. 20 H. Çalhanoğlu
  8. 23 N. Barella
  9. 17 A. Diouf
  10. 9 M. Thuram
  11. 10 Lautaro Martínez

Bench: A. Stanković, P. Sučić, Luis Henrique, R. Di Gennaro, A. Bonny, H. Mkhitaryan, B. Pavard, Carlos Augusto, L. Bovio, I. Provedel, F. Esposito, D. Spence

Club Brugge KV lineup · 4-5-1

  1. 1 Y. Sommer
  2. 65 J. Seys
  3. 44 B. Mechele
  4. 58 J. Spileers
  5. 64 K. Sabbe
  6. 11 Jan Virgili
  7. 20 H. Vanaken
  8. 8 F. Potts
  9. 10 H. Vetlesen
  10. 9 Carlos Forbs
  11. 7 N. Tresoldi

Bench: Lee Han-Beom, C. Tsawa, R. Vermant, N. Jackers, M. Dams, M. Robberechts, H. Siquet, L. Audoor, M. Diakhon, A. Vasovic, F. Lemaréchal, Argus Vanden Driessche

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

Before and after this match