Club Brugge KV vs Lokeren-Temse preview
In the Belgium Cup fixture between Club Brugge KV and Lokeren-Temse, the 1X2 probabilities show Club Brugge KV at 64%, while Lokeren-Temse sits at 16%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 10% chance. The model also indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 63%.
Club Brugge KV's expected goals stand at 2.38, compared to Lokeren-Temse's 1.17. However, recent form could impact the outcome; Club Brugge KV has two losses in their last six matches, while Lokeren-Temse has three wins in that same period. This inconsistency might affect the expected performance on the day.
Club Brugge KV vs Lokeren-Temse: model vs market
| Source | Club Brugge KV | Draw | Lokeren-Temse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 61% | 20% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Club Brugge KV and Lokeren-Temse expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.95
- Attack rating (Club Brugge KV / Lokeren-Temse)
- 1.44 / 1.27
- Defence rating (Club Brugge KV / Lokeren-Temse)
- 0.70 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Brugge KV vs Lokeren-Temse score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Brugge KV goals. Columns: Lokeren-Temse goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Brugge KV vs Lokeren-Temse goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Brugge KV vs Lokeren-Temse
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.09 | |
| Lokeren-Temse | 20% | 5.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.42 |
| No | 29% | 3.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Brugge KV or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Lokeren-Temse) | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win by 2+ | 41% | 2.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Club Brugge KV and Lokeren-Temse recent form
Club Brugge KV
5W 0D 1L
Lokeren-Temse
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Club Brugge KV, previous: Inter vs Club Brugge KV: odds and pick
- Club Brugge KV, next: Club Brugge KV v Lens analysis