Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi preview
In the Belgium Cup fixture between Albert Quévy-Mons and Charleroi, the 1X2 probabilities show Albert Quévy-Mons at 43%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 (11%). The expected goals indicate Albert Quévy-Mons at 1.37 and Charleroi at 1.04, suggesting a close match.
However, the prediction could be challenged if Charleroi's recent form continues, as they have won 5 out of their last 6 matches. Both teams to score sits at 49%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 43%, indicating potential for more action. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi: model vs market
| Source | Albert Quévy-Mons | Draw | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.04.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Albert Quévy-Mons and Charleroi expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (Albert Quévy-Mons / Charleroi)
- 1.21 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Albert Quévy-Mons / Charleroi)
- 0.66 / 0.57
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Albert Quévy-Mons goals. Columns: Charleroi goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 43% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Charleroi | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.02 |
| No | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Albert Quévy-Mons or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Charleroi) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Albert Quévy-Mons win by 2+ | 21% | 4.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Albert Quévy-Mons and Charleroi recent form
Albert Quévy-Mons
4W 1D 1L
Charleroi
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- Charleroi, previous: Standard Liege – Charleroi, 2026-10-11