Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United Prediction & Betting Tips 17/10/2026

Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United preview

Zulte Waregem faces Seraing United with a 48% chance of winning according to our model, while both teams to score sits at 59%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with Zulte Waregem expected to net 1.72 goals and Seraing United 1.21.

Zulte Waregem's recent form shows three losses followed by a win and a draw, while Seraing United has two losses and a draw in their last three matches. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making it possible for the match to end in a draw or for Seraing United to secure a surprise win.

Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Zulte Waregem	Draw	Seraing United
Model	48%	26%	26%
Market	—	—	—
Published	48%	26%	26%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.21.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Zulte Waregem and Seraing United expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.72Zulte Waregem

1.21Seraing United

Total expected goals: 2.93
Attack rating (Zulte Waregem / Seraing United): 0.85 / 1.01
Defence rating (Zulte Waregem / Seraing United): 0.74 / 1.02

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.5% 5.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6% 1 8.1% 12.2% 6.7% 2.7% 1.1% 2 7.9% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.9% 3 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5% 4+ 2.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Rows: Zulte Waregem goals. Columns: Seraing United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 80%

Over 2.5 56%

Over 3.5 34%

Both teams to score: 59%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Zulte Waregem	48%	2.07
	Draw	26%	3.85
	Seraing United	26%	3.90
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56%	1.79
	Under 2.5	44%	2.27
Both teams to score	Yes	59%	1.71
	No	41%	2.42
Double chance	1X (Zulte Waregem or draw)	74%	1.35
	12 (either side)	74%	1.35
	X2 (draw or Seraing United)	52%	1.94
Handicap -1	Zulte Waregem win by 2+	27%	3.74
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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