Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 7

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset

Full time1 – 1

Alin prediction was ASO Chlef to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
ASO ChlefDrawMB Rouisset

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceASO ChlefDrawMB Rouisset
Model27%35%38%
Market47%31%23%
Published42%32%27%
Edge-5%+1%+4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset odds movement

Median bookmaker price on ASO Chlef, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 2.25Now 1.95 -0.30
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
ASO Chlef2.251.95-0.30
Draw2.882.97+0.09
MB Rouisset3.213.95+0.74

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

ASO Chlef and MB Rouisset expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.80ASO Chlef
1.01MB Rouisset
Total expected goals
1.81
Attack rating (ASO Chlef / MB Rouisset)
0.78 / 0.95
Defence rating (ASO Chlef / MB Rouisset)
1.19 / 0.76

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 17.7% 15.1% 8.3% 2.8% 0.9% 1 11.8% 14.6% 6.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2 5.3% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 3 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 4+ 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: ASO Chlef goals. Columns: MB Rouisset goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 82%
Over 1.5 55%
Over 2.5 27%
Over 3.5 11%
Both teams to score
36%
No goals (0–0)
18%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2ASO Chlef42%2.40
Draw32%3.15
MB Rouisset27%3.76
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527%3.68
Under 2.573%1.37
Both teams to scoreYes36%2.75
No64%1.57
Double chance1X (ASO Chlef or draw)73%1.36
12 (either side)68%1.46
X2 (draw or MB Rouisset)58%1.71
Handicap -1ASO Chlef win by 2+9%11.14
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

ASO Chlef and MB Rouisset recent form

ASO Chlef 0W 3D 3L
MB Rouisset 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

ASO Chlef at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

MB Rouisset away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: ASO Chlef at home only, MB Rouisset away only.

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: ASO Chlef 0 · draws 2 · MB Rouisset 0.

ASO ChlefDrawsMB Rouisset
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-28MB Rouisset1-1ASO ChlefAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-09-27ASO Chlef1-1MB RouissetAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match