ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	ASO Chlef	Draw	MB Rouisset
Model	37%	33%	31%
Market	—	—	—
Published	37%	33%	31%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

ASO Chlef and MB Rouisset expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.10ASO Chlef

0.99MB Rouisset

Total expected goals: 2.09
Attack rating (ASO Chlef / MB Rouisset): 0.79 / 0.85
Defence rating (ASO Chlef / MB Rouisset): 1.29 / 1.01

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.8% 10.9% 6.1% 2.0% 0.6% 1 12.3% 14.8% 6.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2 7.5% 7.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4% 3 2.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: ASO Chlef goals. Columns: MB Rouisset goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%

Over 1.5 63%

Over 2.5 35%

Over 3.5 16%

Both teams to score: 43%
No goals (0–0): 14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	ASO Chlef	37%	2.74
	Draw	33%	3.06
	MB Rouisset	31%	3.25
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	35%	2.88
	Under 2.5	65%	1.53
Both teams to score	Yes	43%	2.32
	No	57%	1.76
Double chance	1X (ASO Chlef or draw)	69%	1.45
	12 (either side)	67%	1.49
	X2 (draw or MB Rouisset)	63%	1.57
Handicap -1	ASO Chlef win by 2+	15%	6.52
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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