Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 7

JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was JS Saoura to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS SaouraDrawBen Aknoun

JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS SaouraDrawBen Aknoun
Model43%31%26%
Market45%31%24%
Published45%31%24%
Edge-1%0%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.97.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun odds movement

Median bookmaker price on JS Saoura, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 2.04Now 2.00 -0.04
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
JS Saoura2.042.00-0.04
Draw2.902.90+0.00
Ben Aknoun3.823.85+0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

JS Saoura and Ben Aknoun expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.30JS Saoura
0.97Ben Aknoun
Total expected goals
2.27
Attack rating (JS Saoura / Ben Aknoun)
0.74 / 1.25
Defence rating (JS Saoura / Ben Aknoun)
0.86 / 1.28

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.7% 8.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.5% 1 12.2% 14.3% 6.3% 2.0% 0.6% 2 8.7% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4% 3 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: JS Saoura goals. Columns: Ben Aknoun goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS Saoura45%2.24
Draw31%3.22
Ben Aknoun24%4.13
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540%2.53
Under 2.560%1.65
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.16
No54%1.87
Double chance1X (JS Saoura or draw)76%1.32
12 (either side)69%1.45
X2 (draw or Ben Aknoun)55%1.81
Handicap -1JS Saoura win by 2+20%4.95
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

JS Saoura and Ben Aknoun recent form

JS Saoura 0W 2D 4L
Ben Aknoun 1W 4D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

JS Saoura at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1
  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 5 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ben Aknoun away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: JS Saoura at home only, Ben Aknoun away only.

JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: JS Saoura 2 · draws 1 · Ben Aknoun 1.

JS SaouraDrawsBen Aknoun
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-27JS Saoura1-0Ben AknounAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-09-27Ben Aknoun1-1JS SaouraAlgeria Ligue 1
2024-02-23Ben Aknoun2-0JS SaouraLigue 1
2023-09-30JS Saoura1-0Ben AknounLigue 1

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match