JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun: model vs market
| Source | JS Saoura | Draw | Ben Aknoun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
JS Saoura and Ben Aknoun expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (JS Saoura / Ben Aknoun)
- 0.99 / 1.21
- Defence rating (JS Saoura / Ben Aknoun)
- 0.89 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: JS Saoura goals. Columns: Ben Aknoun goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JS Saoura | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Ben Aknoun | 22% | 4.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (JS Saoura or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Ben Aknoun) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | JS Saoura win by 2+ | 26% | 3.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
JS Saoura and Ben Aknoun recent form
JS Saoura
2W 2D 2L
Ben Aknoun
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ben Aknoun away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: JS Saoura at home only, Ben Aknoun away only.
JS Saoura vs Ben Aknoun head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: JS Saoura 1 · draws 1 · Ben Aknoun 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | JS Saoura | 1-0 | Ben Aknoun | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Ben Aknoun | 1-1 | JS Saoura | Algeria Ligue 1 |
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