US Biskra vs MC Alger Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

US Biskra vs MC Alger: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	US Biskra	Draw	MC Alger
Model	21%	33%	46%
Market	—	—	—
Published	21%	33%	46%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.71.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

US Biskra and MC Alger expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.71US Biskra

1.20MC Alger

Total expected goals: 1.90
Attack rating (US Biskra / MC Alger): 0.82 / 1.43
Defence rating (US Biskra / MC Alger): 0.93 / 0.63

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

US Biskra vs MC Alger score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 16.2% 16.6% 10.7% 4.3% 1.7% 1 9.3% 13.9% 7.5% 3.0% 1.2% 2 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 3 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: US Biskra goals. Columns: MC Alger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

US Biskra vs MC Alger goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 84%

Over 1.5 58%

Over 2.5 30%

Over 3.5 13%

Both teams to score: 37%
No goals (0–0): 16%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for US Biskra vs MC Alger

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	US Biskra	21%	4.86
	Draw	33%	3.03
	MC Alger	46%	2.15
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	30%	3.36
	Under 2.5	70%	1.42
Both teams to score	Yes	37%	2.73
	No	63%	1.58
Double chance	1X (US Biskra or draw)	54%	1.87
	12 (either side)	67%	1.49
	X2 (draw or MC Alger)	79%	1.26
Handicap -1	MC Alger win by 2+	21%	4.72
	Push (exactly one goal)	25%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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