Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 7

US Biskra vs MC Alger

· 18 February Stadium, Biskra

Alin prediction MC Alger to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

15% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
US BiskraDrawMC Alger
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.65.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

US Biskra vs MC Alger preview

In the upcoming fixture between US Biskra and MC Alger, the 1X2 probabilities show MC Alger at 46% to win, compared to US Biskra's 21%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 17% chance. US Biskra's expected goals stand at 0.59, while MC Alger has a significantly higher 1.54.

Despite MC Alger's strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, the confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating some uncertainty. Both teams to score has a 37% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 30%, suggesting that a low-scoring match is more likely. If US Biskra can improve their attack, they might challenge MC Alger's defense effectively.

US Biskra vs MC Alger: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceUS BiskraDrawMC Alger
Model12%25%63%
Market———
Published12%25%63%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

US Biskra and MC Alger expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.65US Biskra
1.76MC Alger
Total expected goals
2.41
Attack rating (US Biskra / MC Alger)
0.68 / 1.32
Defence rating (US Biskra / MC Alger)
1.48 / 0.70

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

US Biskra vs MC Alger score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.0% 14.8% 13.9% 8.2% 5.4% 1 4.8% 11.3% 9.0% 5.3% 3.5% 2 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 1.7% 1.1% 3 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 4+ 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: US Biskra goals. Columns: MC Alger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

US Biskra vs MC Alger goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 43%
Over 3.5 22%
Both teams to score
41%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for US Biskra vs MC Alger

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2US Biskra12%8.21
Draw25%4.06
MC Alger63%1.58
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543%2.31
Under 2.557%1.76
Both teams to scoreYes41%2.46
No59%1.68
Double chance1X (US Biskra or draw)37%2.72
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or MC Alger)88%1.14
Handicap -1MC Alger win by 2+37%2.67
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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US Biskra and MC Alger recent form

US Biskra 0W 2D 4L
MC Alger 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

US Biskra at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

MC Alger away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: US Biskra at home only, MC Alger away only.

US Biskra vs MC Alger head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: US Biskra 2 · draws 6 · MC Alger 2.

US BiskraDrawsMC Alger
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-04-19US Biskra0-1MC AlgerLigue 1
2024-11-09MC Alger0-0US BiskraLigue 1
2024-06-11US Biskra1-0MC AlgerLigue 1
2024-01-19MC Alger1-0US BiskraLigue 1
2023-02-19US Biskra0-0MC AlgerLigue 1
2022-09-03MC Alger0-0US BiskraLigue 1
2022-05-07US Biskra0-0MC AlgerLigue 1
2022-01-07MC Alger1-1US BiskraLigue 1
2021-07-08US Biskra2-1MC AlgerLigue 1
2021-01-30MC Alger1-1US BiskraLigue 1

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot MC Alger to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on MC Alger