Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 7

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie

Full time0 – 3

Alin prediction was JS Kabylie to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KhenchelaDrawJS Kabylie

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKhenchelaDrawJS Kabylie
Model33%33%34%
Market31%32%38%
Published31%32%37%
Edge+1%0%-1%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie odds movement

Median bookmaker price on JS Kabylie, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 2.42Now 2.41 -0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Khenchela2.922.97+0.05
Draw2.842.85+0.01
JS Kabylie2.422.41-0.01

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Khenchela and JS Kabylie expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.02Khenchela
1.03JS Kabylie
Total expected goals
2.05
Attack rating (Khenchela / JS Kabylie)
0.95 / 1.33
Defence rating (Khenchela / JS Kabylie)
0.87 / 0.79

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 14.3% 11.9% 6.8% 2.3% 0.7% 1 11.8% 14.9% 6.9% 2.4% 0.8% 2 6.7% 6.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 3 2.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Khenchela goals. Columns: JS Kabylie goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 62%
Over 2.5 34%
Over 3.5 15%
Both teams to score
42%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Khenchela vs JS Kabylie

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Khenchela31%3.20
Draw32%3.11
JS Kabylie37%2.73
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534%2.98
Under 2.566%1.51
Both teams to scoreYes42%2.36
No58%1.74
Double chance1X (Khenchela or draw)63%1.58
12 (either side)68%1.47
X2 (draw or JS Kabylie)69%1.45
Handicap -1JS Kabylie win by 2+13%7.42
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Khenchela and JS Kabylie recent form

Khenchela 2W 2D 2L
JS Kabylie 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Khenchela at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.33
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

JS Kabylie away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Khenchela at home only, JS Kabylie away only.

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Khenchela 2 · draws 3 · JS Kabylie 3.

KhenchelaDrawsJS Kabylie
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-13Khenchela2-1JS KabylieAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-10-21JS Kabylie1-0KhenchelaAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-04-04Khenchela0-1JS KabylieLigue 1
2024-10-26JS Kabylie1-0KhenchelaLigue 1
2024-02-24JS Kabylie0-0KhenchelaLigue 1
2023-09-29Khenchela2-1JS KabylieLigue 1
2023-05-09Khenchela0-0JS KabylieLigue 1
2022-10-25JS Kabylie0-0KhenchelaLigue 1

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match