Khenchela vs JS Kabylie Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Khenchela	Draw	JS Kabylie
Model	41%	31%	29%
Market	—	—	—
Published	41%	31%	29%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Khenchela and JS Kabylie expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.28Khenchela

1.03JS Kabylie

Total expected goals: 2.31
Attack rating (Khenchela / JS Kabylie): 1.08 / 1.15
Defence rating (Khenchela / JS Kabylie): 1.00 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.3% 8.9% 5.3% 1.8% 0.6% 1 11.4% 14.4% 6.7% 2.3% 0.7% 2 8.1% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5% 3 3.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Khenchela goals. Columns: JS Kabylie goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Khenchela vs JS Kabylie goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%

Over 1.5 68%

Over 2.5 41%

Over 3.5 20%

Both teams to score: 48%
No goals (0–0): 11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Khenchela vs JS Kabylie

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Khenchela	41%	2.45
	Draw	31%	3.26
	JS Kabylie	29%	3.50
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	41%	2.47
	Under 2.5	59%	1.68
Both teams to score	Yes	48%	2.10
	No	52%	1.91
Double chance	1X (Khenchela or draw)	71%	1.40
	12 (either side)	69%	1.44
	X2 (draw or JS Kabylie)	59%	1.69
Handicap -1	Khenchela win by 2+	19%	5.28
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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