JS El Biar vs MC Oran Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

JS El Biar vs MC Oran: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	JS El Biar	Draw	MC Oran
Model	43%	29%	28%
Market	—	—	—
Published	43%	29%	28%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 1.08.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

JS El Biar and MC Oran expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.40JS El Biar

1.08MC Oran

Total expected goals: 2.48
Attack rating (JS El Biar / MC Oran): 1.11 / 1.15
Defence rating (JS El Biar / MC Oran): 1.04 / 0.92

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS El Biar vs MC Oran score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.6% 7.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.6% 1 10.4% 13.9% 6.9% 2.5% 0.8% 2 8.2% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.6% 3 3.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: JS El Biar goals. Columns: MC Oran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS El Biar vs MC Oran goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%

Over 1.5 72%

Over 2.5 45%

Over 3.5 24%

Both teams to score: 51%
No goals (0–0): 10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS El Biar vs MC Oran

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	JS El Biar	43%	2.33
	Draw	29%	3.42
	MC Oran	28%	3.59
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45%	2.22
	Under 2.5	55%	1.82
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	1.96
	No	49%	2.04
Double chance	1X (JS El Biar or draw)	72%	1.39
	12 (either side)	71%	1.41
	X2 (draw or MC Oran)	57%	1.75
Handicap -1	JS El Biar win by 2+	21%	4.75
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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