Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 7

JS El Biar vs MC Oran

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was JS El Biar to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS El BiarDrawMC Oran

JS El Biar vs MC Oran: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS El BiarDrawMC Oran
Model42%28%30%
Market33%33%34%
Published35%32%33%
Edge+2%-1%-1%
  • The market prices JS El Biar below our published probability: +2.1 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

JS El Biar and MC Oran expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.47JS El Biar
1.22MC Oran
Total expected goals
2.69
Attack rating (JS El Biar / MC Oran)
1.52 / 1.00
Defence rating (JS El Biar / MC Oran)
1.36 / 0.71

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS El Biar vs MC Oran score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.0% 7.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8% 1 8.7% 13.4% 7.5% 3.0% 1.2% 2 7.3% 8.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.9% 3 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 4+ 1.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: JS El Biar goals. Columns: MC Oran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS El Biar vs MC Oran goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS El Biar vs MC Oran

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS El Biar35%2.85
Draw32%3.11
MC Oran33%3.05
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550%1.99
Under 2.550%2.01
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.80
No45%2.25
Double chance1X (JS El Biar or draw)67%1.49
12 (either side)68%1.47
X2 (draw or MC Oran)65%1.54
Handicap -1JS El Biar win by 2+21%4.82
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

JS El Biar and MC Oran recent form

JS El Biar 2W 1D 3L
MC Oran 4W 2D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

JS El Biar at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

MC Oran away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2
  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: JS El Biar at home only, MC Oran away only.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match