Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 7

Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine

Full time3 – 0

Alin prediction was Olympique Akbou to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Olympique AkbouDrawCS Constantine

Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOlympique AkbouDrawCS Constantine
Model54%24%22%
Market50%29%21%
Published51%28%21%
Edge+1%-1%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.16.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Olympique Akbou and CS Constantine expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.93Olympique Akbou
1.16CS Constantine
Total expected goals
3.10
Attack rating (Olympique Akbou / CS Constantine)
0.89 / 1.32
Defence rating (Olympique Akbou / CS Constantine)
0.99 / 1.59

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.5% 4.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 1 7.7% 11.2% 5.9% 2.3% 0.9% 2 8.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.8% 3 5.4% 6.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.5% 4+ 4.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%

Rows: Olympique Akbou goals. Columns: CS Constantine goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 60%
Over 3.5 37%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Olympique Akbou51%1.96
Draw28%3.58
CS Constantine21%4.76
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560%1.67
Under 2.540%2.49
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.67
No40%2.49
Double chance1X (Olympique Akbou or draw)79%1.27
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or CS Constantine)49%2.04
Handicap -1Olympique Akbou win by 2+32%3.10
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Olympique Akbou and CS Constantine recent form

Olympique Akbou 2W 2D 2L
CS Constantine 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Olympique Akbou at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

CS Constantine away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
2.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: Olympique Akbou at home only, CS Constantine away only.

Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Olympique Akbou 2 · draws 1 · CS Constantine 2.

Olympique AkbouDrawsCS Constantine
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-17Olympique Akbou1-0CS ConstantineAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-10-25CS Constantine2-1Olympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-05-30Olympique Akbou0-0CS ConstantineLigue 1
2025-02-05Olympique Akbou1-0CS ConstantineCoupe Nationale
2024-11-08CS Constantine2-1Olympique AkbouLigue 1

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match