Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Olympique Akbou	Draw	CS Constantine
Model	49%	26%	24%
Market	—	—	—
Published	49%	26%	24%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.13.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Olympique Akbou and CS Constantine expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.69Olympique Akbou

1.13CS Constantine

Total expected goals: 2.82
Attack rating (Olympique Akbou / CS Constantine): 0.87 / 1.19
Defence rating (Olympique Akbou / CS Constantine): 1.05 / 1.42

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.1% 5.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5% 1 8.9% 12.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.9% 2 8.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.1% 0.7% 3 4.8% 5.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 4+ 3.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3%

Rows: Olympique Akbou goals. Columns: CS Constantine goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%

Over 1.5 78%

Over 2.5 54%

Over 3.5 31%

Both teams to score: 56%
No goals (0–0): 7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Olympique Akbou vs CS Constantine

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Olympique Akbou	49%	2.03
	Draw	26%	3.79
	CS Constantine	24%	4.11
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	54%	1.87
	Under 2.5	46%	2.15
Both teams to score	Yes	56%	1.77
	No	44%	2.29
Double chance	1X (Olympique Akbou or draw)	76%	1.32
	12 (either side)	74%	1.36
	X2 (draw or CS Constantine)	51%	1.97
Handicap -1	Olympique Akbou win by 2+	27%	3.68
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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