Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar Prediction & Betting Tips 07/10/2026

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar preview

In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture between Ben Aknoun and JS El Biar, the model gives Ben Aknoun a 43% chance to win, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. The probabilities suggest a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.

However, recent form shows Ben Aknoun with a series of draws and one loss, while JS El Biar has won one and lost two of their last three matches. This inconsistency in form could lead to unexpected results, making the confidence grade a C. The expected goals indicate Ben Aknoun at 1.73 and JS El Biar at 1.15, which may also influence the match outcome.

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Ben Aknoun	Draw	JS El Biar
Model	50%	26%	24%
Market	40%	32%	27%
Published	43%	31%	27%
Edge	+10%	-6%	-3%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.15.
The market prices Ben Aknoun below the model: +9.7 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.

Ben Aknoun and JS El Biar expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.73Ben Aknoun

1.15JS El Biar

Total expected goals: 2.88
Attack rating (Ben Aknoun / JS El Biar): 1.21 / 1.11
Defence rating (Ben Aknoun / JS El Biar): 1.15 / 1.04

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.7% 5.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.5% 1 8.6% 12.3% 6.4% 2.5% 0.9% 2 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.8% 3 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5% 4+ 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%

Rows: Ben Aknoun goals. Columns: JS El Biar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%

Over 1.5 79%

Over 2.5 55%

Over 3.5 33%

Both teams to score: 57%
No goals (0–0): 7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Ben Aknoun	43%	2.34
	Draw	31%	3.25
	JS El Biar	27%	3.76
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55%	1.82
	Under 2.5	45%	2.22
Both teams to score	Yes	57%	1.74
	No	43%	2.34
Double chance	1X (Ben Aknoun or draw)	73%	1.36
	12 (either side)	69%	1.44
	X2 (draw or JS El Biar)	57%	1.74
Handicap -1	Ben Aknoun win by 2+	28%	3.59
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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