MB Rouisset vs USM Alger preview
The fixture between MB Rouisset and USM Alger shows a balanced 1X2 probability with both teams at 34% to win, while the draw stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has an 11% probability. However, the match could see more goals as the Over 2.5 goals chance is at 39%, and both teams to score is at 47%.
Recent form indicates MB Rouisset has two wins in their last six matches, while USM Alger remains unbeaten in their last six with four draws. The expected goals are close, with MB Rouisset at 1.13 and USM Alger at 1.11. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
MB Rouisset vs USM Alger: model vs market
| Source | MB Rouisset | Draw | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Published | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.70, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
MB Rouisset and USM Alger expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.24
- Attack rating (MB Rouisset / USM Alger)
- 0.85 / 1.22
- Defence rating (MB Rouisset / USM Alger)
- 1.01 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
MB Rouisset vs USM Alger score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: MB Rouisset goals. Columns: USM Alger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
MB Rouisset vs USM Alger goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for MB Rouisset vs USM Alger
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MB Rouisset | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.16 | |
| USM Alger | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| No | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (MB Rouisset or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or USM Alger) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | MB Rouisset win by 2+ | 15% | 6.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
MB Rouisset and USM Alger recent form
MB Rouisset
3W 0D 3L
USM Alger
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
MB Rouisset at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
USM Alger away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: MB Rouisset at home only, USM Alger away only.
MB Rouisset vs USM Alger head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: MB Rouisset 1 · draws 0 · USM Alger 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | MB Rouisset | 1-0 | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-12-22 | USM Alger | 2-0 | MB Rouisset | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-08 | USM Alger | 8-0 | MB Rouisset | Coupe Nationale |
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