Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 4

JS Saoura vs Olympique Akbou

Alin prediction JS Saoura to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS SaouraDrawOlympique Akbou
Best market odds
JS Saoura1.70 Draw3.35 Olympique Akbou5.90
Bet on JS Saoura

JS Saoura vs Olympique Akbou preview

JS Saoura faces Olympique Akbou, with a 53% probability for a home win in the 1X2 market. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with JS Saoura's expected goals of 1.43 compared to Olympique Akbou's 0.70.

However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score has a 39% chance, indicating that while JS Saoura is favored, there is potential for Olympique Akbou to find the net. Additionally, JS Saoura's recent form shows inconsistency, with three draws in their last six matches, which could impact their performance.

JS Saoura vs Olympique Akbou: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS SaouraDrawOlympique Akbou
Model53%29%17%
Market53%29%18%
Published53%29%17%
Edge0%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.70.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.

JS Saoura and Olympique Akbou expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.43JS Saoura
0.70Olympique Akbou
Total expected goals
2.13
Attack rating (JS Saoura / Olympique Akbou)
0.99 / 0.87
Defence rating (JS Saoura / Olympique Akbou)
0.89 / 1.05

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS Saoura vs Olympique Akbou score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.1% 7.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 1 15.8% 13.1% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 2 12.2% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 3 5.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: JS Saoura goals. Columns: Olympique Akbou goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS Saoura vs Olympique Akbou goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 36%
Over 3.5 17%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS Saoura vs Olympique Akbou

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS Saoura53%1.87
Draw29%3.43
Olympique Akbou17%5.71
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536%2.79
Under 2.564%1.56
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.54
No61%1.65
Double chance1X (JS Saoura or draw)83%1.21
12 (either side)71%1.41
X2 (draw or Olympique Akbou)47%2.14
Handicap -1JS Saoura win by 2+28%3.62
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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JS Saoura and Olympique Akbou recent form

JS Saoura 2W 2D 2L
Olympique Akbou 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Olympique Akbou away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: JS Saoura at home only, Olympique Akbou away only.

JS Saoura vs Olympique Akbou head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: JS Saoura 2 · draws 0 · Olympique Akbou 2.

JS SaouraDrawsOlympique Akbou
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-08Olympique Akbou1-0JS SaouraAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-10-04JS Saoura3-2Olympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-02-27JS Saoura2-1Olympique AkbouLigue 1
2024-10-04Olympique Akbou2-1JS SaouraLigue 1

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Prediction snapshot JS Saoura to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on JS Saoura