Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 4

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef

· Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou

Alin prediction JS Kabylie to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

15% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS KabylieDrawASO Chlef

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef preview

JS Kabylie hosts ASO Chlef with a strong probability of 70% to win, suggesting a solid edge for the home side. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with JS Kabylie's expected goals of 2.02 compared to ASO Chlef's 0.62. However, the model's confidence grade is C, indicating that while JS Kabylie is favored, unexpected results can occur.

Both teams to score has a probability of 41%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 49%. This means that while a low-scoring game is possible, there is still a chance for more goals. Recent form shows JS Kabylie has mixed results, while ASO Chlef has struggled, losing their last six matches. This could impact the outcome if ASO Chlef finds a way to improve.

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS KabylieDrawASO Chlef
Model70%21%9%
Market———
Published70%21%9%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.62.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

JS Kabylie and ASO Chlef expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.02JS Kabylie
0.62ASO Chlef
Total expected goals
2.64
Attack rating (JS Kabylie / ASO Chlef)
1.15 / 0.79
Defence rating (JS Kabylie / ASO Chlef)
0.87 / 1.29

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 1 13.5% 9.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 2 14.6% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 3 9.8% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 7.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: JS Kabylie goals. Columns: ASO Chlef goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 49%
Over 3.5 27%
Both teams to score
41%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS Kabylie70%1.44
Draw21%4.75
ASO Chlef9%10.61
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549%2.03
Under 2.551%1.97
Both teams to scoreYes41%2.44
No59%1.69
Double chance1X (JS Kabylie or draw)91%1.10
12 (either side)79%1.27
X2 (draw or ASO Chlef)30%3.28
Handicap -1JS Kabylie win by 2+45%2.23
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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JS Kabylie and ASO Chlef recent form

JS Kabylie 3W 1D 2L
ASO Chlef 0W 1D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

JS Kabylie at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

ASO Chlef away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: JS Kabylie at home only, ASO Chlef away only.

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: JS Kabylie 4 · draws 3 · ASO Chlef 3.

JS KabylieDrawsASO Chlef
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-20ASO Chlef1-2JS KabylieAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-12-27JS Kabylie2-1ASO ChlefAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-06-21JS Kabylie1-0ASO ChlefLigue 1
2024-12-28ASO Chlef1-0JS KabylieLigue 1
2024-06-07ASO Chlef1-1JS KabylieLigue 1
2024-01-13JS Kabylie2-1ASO ChlefLigue 1
2023-03-03JS Kabylie0-0ASO ChlefLigue 1
2022-08-26ASO Chlef1-0JS KabylieLigue 1
2022-04-23JS Kabylie0-1ASO ChlefLigue 1
2021-12-28ASO Chlef1-1JS KabylieLigue 1

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Prediction snapshot JS Kabylie to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on JS Kabylie